{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7276289d-441b-4a5c-8075-87d87b70a606", "symbol": "600212", "name": "Gresgying Digital Energy Technology Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.45, "architecture_energy": 61.655, "architecture_maturity": 93.254, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.4, "rotation_up": 26.69, "upward_expansion": 11.58, "deceleration": 55.47, "rotation_down": 55.29, "downward_expansion": 84.91 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.161333, 5.245273, 5.787381, 6.232237 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.43, "trend_reference": 6.806, "distance_from_trend": -0.202175, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 7.296795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.255838, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -27.661583, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.310038, "excess_performance": -0.266834, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.202175, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.125343, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.255838, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.201706, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.276616, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.079024, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.310038, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.221676, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 49763641, "relative_activity": 0.853947, "balance": 0.221676, "dry_up": 0.881618, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.092931, "annualized_volatility": 0.347137, "from_high_reference": -0.478887, "from_low_reference": 0.150424 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.806, "fair_value_reference": 7.296795, "structural_low": 4.72, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.05428, "positive_rate": 0.391304, "directional_follow_through": 0.608696, "median_excess_return": -0.013096, "regime_survival": 0.869565, "best_return": 0.641121, "worst_return": -0.168079, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.10604, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.060305, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.744726, "worst_return": -0.364583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.204657, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.177653, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.953586, "worst_return": -0.395291, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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5.581333, 5.952909, 6.531762, 6.88329 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 5.03, "volume": 79629168, "typical_volume": 58161526.65, "trend": 7.222, "fair_value": 7.395385, "relative_strength": -37.005477, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -81.602793, "energy": 89.630255, "activity_lines": [ 5.356, 5.723818, 6.351429, 6.734538 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 4.96, "volume": 58331870, "typical_volume": 59114979.95, "trend": 7.112, "fair_value": 7.367051, "relative_strength": -33.323151, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.634018, "energy": 89.287167, "activity_lines": [ 5.180667, 5.518909, 6.176714, 6.588602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.88, "volume": 52166505, "typical_volume": 58529055.6, "trend": 6.998333, "fair_value": 7.339679, "relative_strength": -34.396318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.041131, "energy": 84.538481, "activity_lines": [ 5.040667, 5.340364, 6.007429, 6.444602 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.17, "volume": 45242772, "typical_volume": 58273829.3, "trend": 6.893333, "fair_value": 7.31609, "relative_strength": -30.014598, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -67.344105, "energy": 77.802641, "activity_lines": [ 5.056, 5.254545, 5.879286, 6.326645 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.43, "volume": 49763641, "typical_volume": 58274865.45, "trend": 6.806, "fair_value": 7.296795, "relative_strength": -27.661583, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.450457, "energy": 61.655259, "activity_lines": [ 5.161333, 5.245273, 5.787381, 6.232237 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }