{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7282465a-59ad-47bb-8ddf-aff57fcb0a6d", "symbol": "SE", "name": "Sea Ltd", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 88.804, "architecture_regime": "rotation_up", "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up", "architecture_modifier": "Value reclamation", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 46.18, "architecture_energy": 47.561, "architecture_maturity": 21.515, "architecture_confidence": 54.639, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.", "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair." }, "scores": { "balance": 28.41, "rotation_up": 65.97, "upward_expansion": 57.14, "deceleration": 27.49, "rotation_down": 19.98, "downward_expansion": 15.47 }, "activity_lines": [ 107.556667, 103.604545, 97.237286, 95.449957 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 113.43, "trend_reference": 97.037, "distance_from_trend": 0.168936, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 98.787436, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.148223, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -18.713239, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.045053, "excess_performance": -0.080572, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.168936, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.105738, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.148223, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242902, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.187132, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.260236, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.045053, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.860665, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 21278243, "relative_activity": 1.063328, "balance": 1.860665, "dry_up": 1.101016, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.098433, "annualized_volatility": 0.469957, "from_high_reference": -0.430858, "from_low_reference": 0.472161 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.037, "fair_value_reference": 98.787436, "structural_low": 77.05, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.209907, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.180389, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.317953, "worst_return": -0.068114, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.355759, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.3306, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.598845, "worst_return": 0.112672, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": 0.345551, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.242681, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.847623, "worst_return": -0.156521, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full 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100.0, "volume": 18833403, "typical_volume": 20144311.7, "trend": 98.531667, "fair_value": 98.126474, "relative_strength": -26.538015, "stage": 4, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 22.473145, "energy": 47.519692, "activity_lines": [ 103.17, 98.414909, 93.486905, 93.905978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 106.74, "volume": 20984682, "typical_volume": 20050440.75, "trend": 97.706667, "fair_value": 98.429679, "relative_strength": -21.553356, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 36.853774, "energy": 52.843956, "activity_lines": [ 104.762, 100.578545, 95.092905, 94.435548 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 113.43, "volume": 21278243, "typical_volume": 20010989.25, "trend": 97.037, "fair_value": 98.787436, "relative_strength": -18.713239, "stage": 1, "regime": "rotation_up", "modifier": "Value reclamation", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 46.179629, "energy": 47.560932, "activity_lines": [ 107.556667, 103.604545, 97.237286, 95.449957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }