{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7282ad8d-337c-4d82-9db2-3a7432f665f5", "symbol": "1271", "name": "SunWay Biotech Co., LTD.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1a", "phase_label": "Stage 1A \u00b7 Bottoming", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 64.643, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 10.776, "architecture_energy": 6.393, "architecture_maturity": 39.115, "architecture_confidence": 56.237, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 62.94, "rotation_up": 29.22, "upward_expansion": 43.82, "deceleration": 73.14, "rotation_down": 25.25, "downward_expansion": 30.82 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.343865, 60.663363, 60.857867, 60.31863 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.0 }, "latest_close": 59.200001, "trend_reference": 59.347674, "distance_from_trend": -0.002488, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 77.31882, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.234339, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -33.627472, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.013488, "excess_performance": -0.427884, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.002488, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.006776, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.234339, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.043524, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.336275, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007977, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.013488, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.887208, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 234364, "relative_activity": 0.468633, "balance": 0.887208, "dry_up": 0.481386, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.075884, "annualized_volatility": 0.391994, "from_high_reference": -0.339224, "from_low_reference": 0.176441 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 59.347674, "fair_value_reference": 77.31882, "structural_low": 50.321287, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.0064, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.043413, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.23511, "worst_return": -0.122807, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.030151, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.129258, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.064263, "worst_return": -0.151754, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 2, "median_return": -0.096274, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": -0.310066, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": -0.085965, "worst_return": -0.106583, 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-32.421575, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 22.346668, "energy": 10.37766, "activity_lines": [ 60.826266, 60.873508, 60.94232, 60.077017 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 59.900002, "volume": 381586, "typical_volume": 528275.5, "trend": 59.112971, "fair_value": 77.207933, "relative_strength": -31.06248, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.428686, "energy": 7.816674, "activity_lines": [ 60.513126, 60.702704, 60.909704, 60.130781 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 62.099998, "volume": 89633, "typical_volume": 517874.95, "trend": 59.275367, "fair_value": 77.301932, "relative_strength": -29.152339, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 25.615467, "energy": 10.349637, "activity_lines": [ 60.965688, 60.97302, 61.044757, 60.323492 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 59.200001, "volume": 234364, "typical_volume": 500101.4, "trend": 59.347674, "fair_value": 77.31882, "relative_strength": -33.627472, "stage": 1, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 10.776415, "energy": 6.393343, "activity_lines": [ 60.343865, 60.663363, 60.857867, 60.31863 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }