{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72830748-d43b-449e-8411-a45061453519", "symbol": "XPBRA", "name": "Petr\u00f3leo Brasileiro S.A. - Petrobras", "exchange": "MCE", "country": "ES", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^IBEX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 86.503, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 61.533, "architecture_energy": 70.329, "architecture_maturity": 15.906, "architecture_confidence": 89.414, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 20.58, "rotation_up": 70.24, "upward_expansion": 88.97, "deceleration": 45.43, "rotation_down": 11.06, "downward_expansion": 15.63 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.240333, 7.031564, 6.935369, 6.710226 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 7.205, "trend_reference": 6.271632, "distance_from_trend": 0.148824, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2.72406, "distance_from_fair_value": 1.644949, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 23.093294, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.482981, "excess_performance": 0.35855, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.148824, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.204002, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 1.644949, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.573915, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.230933, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.338089, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.482981, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 6.113841, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 17228, "relative_activity": 0.150617, "balance": 6.113841, "dry_up": 0.116423, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057811, "annualized_volatility": 0.314949, "from_high_reference": -0.038051, "from_low_reference": 1.597831 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.271632, "fair_value_reference": 2.72406, "structural_low": 4.403235, "invalidation": 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2.635607, "relative_strength": 31.66672, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Momentum cooling", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.557612, "energy": 53.69111, "activity_lines": [ 7.010533, 6.875709, 6.826278, 6.55729 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.395, "volume": 4205, "typical_volume": 128814.1, "trend": 6.169852, "fair_value": 2.680559, "relative_strength": 30.243988, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.401085, "energy": 70.485267, "activity_lines": [ 7.191533, 6.976255, 6.893481, 6.643442 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 7.205, "volume": 17228, "typical_volume": 114382.55, "trend": 6.271632, "fair_value": 2.72406, "relative_strength": 23.093294, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 61.532874, "energy": 70.329204, "activity_lines": [ 7.240333, 7.031564, 6.935369, 6.710226 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }