{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "729fa7bf-e939-4724-9cd4-7bb3e1e26699",
    "symbol": "VEGA",
    "name": "ADVISORSHARES TRUST STAR GLOBAL BUY-WRITE ETF",
    "exchange": "NYSEARCA",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 50.968,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 74.575,
    "architecture_energy": 44.107,
    "architecture_maturity": 31.313,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.477,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.32,
        "rotation_up": 45.91,
        "upward_expansion": 76.61,
        "deceleration": 68.22,
        "rotation_down": 26.91,
        "downward_expansion": 5.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        52.417607,
        52.305962,
        52.048928,
        51.49792
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 53.3171,
    "trend_reference": 50.905233,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.04738,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 43.786511,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.21766,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -4.526477,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.05954,
    "excess_performance": -0.066085,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.04738,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.021495,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.21766,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.008802,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045265,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.00971,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05954,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.789493,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 41430,
      "relative_activity": 1.518497,
      "balance": 1.789493,
      "dry_up": 0.963117,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.016768,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.103847,
      "from_high_reference": -5.4e-05,
      "from_low_reference": 0.153814
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 50.905233,
      "fair_value_reference": 43.786511,
      "structural_low": 47.16,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": 0.00936,
        "positive_rate": 0.625,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
        "median_excess_return": -0.012279,
        "regime_survival": 0.375,
        "best_return": 0.035337,
        "worst_return": -0.0318,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.038709,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.036637,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.057509,
        "worst_return": 0.01568,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.074213,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.055905,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.108683,
        "worst_return": -0.001509,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.076361,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.020773,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.177795,
        "worst_return": -0.17981,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-12-29",
        "end": "2024-04-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.015858,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-04-26",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.034624,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010304,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-08-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01834,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-08-30",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.016967,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-03-28",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.005807,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-04-04",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.030393,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-09",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039947,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-05-16",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.001719,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-06-06",
        "end": "2025-06-27",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.019875,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-07-04",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.036382,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-24",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.052647,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-05-01",
        "end": "2026-07-24",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.008044,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-31",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.024541,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "trend": 49.945264,
        "fair_value": 42.86785,
        "relative_strength": -3.825021,
        "stage": 3,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "relative_strength": -3.376725,
        "stage": 3,
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      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -2.123313,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
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        "energy": 43.541598,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 43.282979,
        "relative_strength": -3.238232,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 43.384363,
        "relative_strength": -3.952045,
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        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 51.9418,
        "volume": 18336,
        "typical_volume": 25858.5,
        "trend": 50.637443,
        "fair_value": 43.482046,
        "relative_strength": -3.560307,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.825201,
        "energy": 41.271667,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.678533,
          51.18184
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 51.68,
        "volume": 27908,
        "typical_volume": 26453.05,
        "trend": 50.703943,
        "fair_value": 43.575894,
        "relative_strength": -3.391323,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 44.496522,
        "energy": 32.241586,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.03148,
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          51.751341,
          51.249102
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 52.04,
        "volume": 17435,
        "typical_volume": 25858.05,
        "trend": 50.796487,
        "fair_value": 43.676692,
        "relative_strength": -3.657966,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 40.772595,
        "energy": 27.598159,
        "activity_lines": [
          52.017693,
          52.091715,
          51.847387,
          51.335299
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 53.3171,
        "volume": 41430,
        "typical_volume": 27283.55,
        "trend": 50.905233,
        "fair_value": 43.786511,
        "relative_strength": -4.526477,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 74.57478,
        "energy": 44.106634,
        "activity_lines": [
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          51.49792
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}