{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72b72bf7-d40d-4fbd-9145-a1afd16e54b1", "symbol": "PFGC", "name": "Performance Food Group Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 71.416, "architecture_energy": 63.459, "architecture_maturity": 37.566, "architecture_confidence": 90.108, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 6.62, "rotation_up": 63.14, "upward_expansion": 86.98, "deceleration": 56.17, "rotation_down": 23.03, "downward_expansion": 11.31 }, "activity_lines": [ 113.560667, 111.931636, 105.80181, 101.643656 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 114.9, "trend_reference": 97.819333, "distance_from_trend": 0.174614, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 82.928718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.385527, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 4.601234, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.217161, "excess_performance": 0.091536, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.174614, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057544, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.385527, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.206055, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.046012, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.168716, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.217161, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.478005, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6786471, "relative_activity": 0.850446, "balance": 1.478005, "dry_up": 1.013356, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.050014, "annualized_volatility": 0.292133, "from_high_reference": -0.02192, "from_low_reference": 0.421678 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 97.819333, "fair_value_reference": 82.928718, "structural_low": 80.82, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": -0.007266, "positive_rate": 0.48, "directional_follow_through": 0.48, "median_excess_return": -0.016245, "regime_survival": 0.72, "best_return": 0.079857, "worst_return": -0.097403, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.012698, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": -0.036772, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.175804, "worst_return": -0.217883, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.015104, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.060356, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.087413, "worst_return": -0.103552, "sufficient": true }, { 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"2026-07-10", "close": 113.36, "volume": 6844082, "typical_volume": 8015528.2, "trend": 94.814, "fair_value": 81.568526, "relative_strength": 5.270944, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 78.377663, "energy": 89.64455, "activity_lines": [ 110.786, 105.981818, 99.548905, 97.186839 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 111.76, "volume": 10105574, "typical_volume": 8145814.8, "trend": 95.484, "fair_value": 81.887692, "relative_strength": 5.538117, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.822598, "energy": 86.301573, "activity_lines": [ 111.734, 107.708909, 101.122095, 98.280129 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 111.49, "volume": 7942976, "typical_volume": 8136694.1, "trend": 96.141667, "fair_value": 82.213782, "relative_strength": 5.989391, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.887567, "energy": 80.993193, "activity_lines": [ 112.079333, 109.048, 102.599571, 99.312774 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 114.39, "volume": 7510882, "typical_volume": 8053127.15, "trend": 97.019667, "fair_value": 82.563526, "relative_strength": 7.717191, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 72.190233, "energy": 67.363695, "activity_lines": [ 112.866667, 110.632182, 104.23881, 100.490086 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 114.9, "volume": 6786471, "typical_volume": 7979893.15, "trend": 97.819333, "fair_value": 82.928718, "relative_strength": 4.601234, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.415652, "energy": 63.459073, "activity_lines": [ 113.560667, 111.931636, 105.80181, 101.643656 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }