{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72ba0ce6-ce66-42c9-911a-8ade151cde05", "symbol": "SHG", "name": "Singular Health Group Ltd", "exchange": "ASX", "country": "AU", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^AXJO", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -52.609, "architecture_energy": 25.318, "architecture_maturity": 99.845, "architecture_confidence": 93.723, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 37.97, "rotation_up": 24.44, "upward_expansion": 4.4, "deceleration": 51.15, "rotation_down": 41.62, "downward_expansion": 73.07 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.199333, 0.201182, 0.204071, 0.210204 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 0.19, "trend_reference": 0.220167, "distance_from_trend": -0.137017, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.181814, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.045023, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -26.922034, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.155556, "excess_performance": -0.219261, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.137017, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.08518, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.045023, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.141379, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.26922, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.02085, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.155556, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.344463, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1121960, "relative_activity": 0.951959, "balance": 0.344463, "dry_up": 1.291891, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.15081, "annualized_volatility": 0.65335, "from_high_reference": -0.472222, "from_low_reference": 0.117647 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.220167, "fair_value_reference": 0.181814, "structural_low": 0.17, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 26, "median_return": -0.037037, "positive_rate": 0.384615, "directional_follow_through": 0.576923, "median_excess_return": -0.020733, "regime_survival": 0.884615, "best_return": 0.515152, "worst_return": -0.46, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.09434, "positive_rate": 0.222222, "directional_follow_through": 0.777778, "median_excess_return": -0.090359, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.012048, "worst_return": -0.518182, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.185185, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.217837, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 2.020833, "worst_return": -0.563636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-03-22", "end": "2024-06-21", "tenure": "Established", "return": -0.25, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-06-28", "end": "2024-07-26", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.040404, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-08-02", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.083333, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2024-11-29", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.0, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-12-06", "end": "2025-03-14", "tenure": "Established", "return": 0.586207, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-03-21", "end": "2025-05-02", 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"fair_value": 0.178801, "relative_strength": -11.603308, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -24.511276, "energy": 12.008207, "activity_lines": [ 0.210333, 0.205909, 0.208786, 0.215882 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.2, "volume": 1149633, "typical_volume": 1170198.8, "trend": 0.2245, "fair_value": 0.17984, "relative_strength": -20.398391, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -34.721586, "energy": 18.719463, "activity_lines": [ 0.208667, 0.204909, 0.207452, 0.214183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.195, "volume": 2675495, "typical_volume": 1212617.9, "trend": 0.222167, "fair_value": 0.180846, "relative_strength": -23.403412, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.64572, "energy": 17.228144, "activity_lines": [ 0.205333, 0.203455, 0.205905, 0.21228 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.19, "volume": 1121960, "typical_volume": 1178579.65, "trend": 0.220167, "fair_value": 0.181814, "relative_strength": -26.922034, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.609433, "energy": 25.318091, "activity_lines": [ 0.199333, 0.201182, 0.204071, 0.210204 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }