{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72bd030e-afe6-44e7-8cfe-50c6f7041d36", "symbol": "G13", "name": "Genting Singapore Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -33.678, "architecture_energy": 20.679, "architecture_maturity": 98.725, "architecture_confidence": 73.074, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.3, "rotation_up": 29.51, "upward_expansion": 18.76, "deceleration": 46.75, "rotation_down": 23.34, "downward_expansion": 55.1 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.625333, 0.621, 0.623803, 0.636661 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.62, "trend_reference": 0.65803, "distance_from_trend": -0.057793, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.729681, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.150314, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -24.094809, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.143487, "excess_performance": -0.298322, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.057793, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.048237, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.150314, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.066407, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.240948, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.129614, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.143487, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.580081, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 100559800, "relative_activity": 0.758836, "balance": 0.580081, "dry_up": 0.762556, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0366, "annualized_volatility": 0.304406, "from_high_reference": -0.212219, "from_low_reference": 0.068966 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.65803, "fair_value_reference": 0.729681, "structural_low": 0.58, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 29, "median_return": -0.005883, "positive_rate": 0.448276, "directional_follow_through": 0.517241, "median_excess_return": -0.009198, "regime_survival": 0.827586, "best_return": 0.11976, "worst_return": -0.137504, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": -0.029647, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.04653, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.16092, "worst_return": -0.076923, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.00109, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.109161, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.113837, "worst_return": -0.111112, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"fair_value": 0.732016, "relative_strength": -23.744869, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -39.181785, "energy": 25.928967, "activity_lines": [ 0.621, 0.615818, 0.625455, 0.641134 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.635, "volume": 110822100, "typical_volume": 136092230.95, "trend": 0.661006, "fair_value": 0.730993, "relative_strength": -21.894052, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.494983, "energy": 22.613841, "activity_lines": [ 0.626667, 0.620182, 0.625317, 0.639307 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.62, "volume": 100559800, "typical_volume": 132518440.95, "trend": 0.65803, "fair_value": 0.729681, "relative_strength": -24.094809, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -33.677726, "energy": 20.678918, "activity_lines": [ 0.625333, 0.621, 0.623803, 0.636661 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }