{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72cf0506-f11f-49e3-89e5-d083383e9a86", "symbol": "KRNY", "name": "Kearny Financial Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 66.227, "architecture_energy": 59.039, "architecture_maturity": 50.92, "architecture_confidence": 90.112, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 5.24, "rotation_up": 64.63, "upward_expansion": 85.56, "deceleration": 58.41, "rotation_down": 20.09, "downward_expansion": 9.89 }, "activity_lines": [ 9.499333, 9.355273, 8.91198, 8.57979 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.833333 }, "latest_close": 9.52, "trend_reference": 8.219145, "distance_from_trend": 0.158271, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.538801, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.455924, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 11.315202, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.183932, "excess_performance": -0.003522, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.158271, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.096078, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.455924, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.164284, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.113152, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.107021, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.183932, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.709785, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2419366, "relative_activity": 1.145646, "balance": 1.709785, "dry_up": 1.198872, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.053247, "annualized_volatility": 0.252265, "from_high_reference": -0.030056, "from_low_reference": 0.723932 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 8.219145, "fair_value_reference": 6.538801, "structural_low": 6.827453, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 23, "median_return": -0.004111, "positive_rate": 0.434783, "directional_follow_through": 0.434783, "median_excess_return": 0.003366, "regime_survival": 0.73913, "best_return": 0.236028, "worst_return": -0.167051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": 0.027109, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.0151, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.228848, "worst_return": -0.240927, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.056008, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.007613, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.139304, "worst_return": -0.336563, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 64.791654, "energy": 72.858609, "activity_lines": [ 9.402, 9.139091, 8.681084, 8.393223 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 9.59, "volume": 2683406, "typical_volume": 2098631.7, "trend": 8.149698, "fair_value": 6.522638, "relative_strength": 18.508734, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 71.683803, "energy": 68.527416, "activity_lines": [ 9.472, 9.266182, 8.805668, 8.491384 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 9.52, "volume": 2419366, "typical_volume": 2111791.2, "trend": 8.219145, "fair_value": 6.538801, "relative_strength": 11.315202, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 66.226606, "energy": 59.038987, "activity_lines": [ 9.499333, 9.355273, 8.91198, 8.57979 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }