{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72d51455-cfd9-44e8-90f5-e69b7171c322", "symbol": "WNC", "name": "Wabash National Corporation", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 79.268, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 62.629, "architecture_energy": 53.164, "architecture_maturity": 50.775, "architecture_confidence": 81.32, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 22.29, "rotation_up": 58.14, "upward_expansion": 81.92, "deceleration": 67.49, "rotation_down": 21.1, "downward_expansion": 8.58 }, "activity_lines": [ 12.979333, 12.785057, 11.177275, 10.543168 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 12.93, "trend_reference": 10.08698, "distance_from_trend": 0.28185, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 15.232048, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.151132, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 18.120018, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.183317, "excess_performance": 0.057692, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.28185, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.125769, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.151132, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.392382, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.1812, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.4831, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.183317, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.573715, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4829555, "relative_activity": 1.030451, "balance": 1.573715, "dry_up": 1.763008, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.119737, "annualized_volatility": 0.747584, "from_high_reference": -0.091619, "from_low_reference": 0.961992 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 10.08698, "fair_value_reference": 15.232048, "structural_low": 6.59024, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 17, "median_return": -0.031277, "positive_rate": 0.470588, "directional_follow_through": 0.470588, "median_excess_return": -0.021928, "regime_survival": 0.647059, "best_return": 0.159233, "worst_return": -0.199863, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.079922, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.130644, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.621021, "worst_return": -0.216078, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.137009, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.154779, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.741772, "worst_return": -0.229296, "sufficient": false }, { 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}, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 13.34, "volume": 5035997, "typical_volume": 4282333.15, "trend": 9.870994, "fair_value": 15.359276, "relative_strength": 28.063855, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.857259, "energy": 82.54091, "activity_lines": [ 13.309716, 12.265766, 10.611973, 10.180442 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 12.56, "volume": 8581108, "typical_volume": 4579457.75, "trend": 9.996765, "fair_value": 15.295349, "relative_strength": 18.999077, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.533074, "energy": 58.680141, "activity_lines": [ 13.036, 12.535744, 10.887639, 10.353927 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.93, "volume": 4829555, "typical_volume": 4686835.0, "trend": 10.08698, "fair_value": 15.232048, "relative_strength": 18.120018, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 62.629357, "energy": 53.164098, "activity_lines": [ 12.979333, 12.785057, 11.177275, 10.543168 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }