{ "ticker": { "uuid": "72e1983a-b6da-4b65-add7-b65f436b45f0", "symbol": "PRIE", "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi Prime Europe UCITS ETF DR", "exchange": "LSE", "country": "GB", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^FTSE", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 91.692, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 82.09, "architecture_energy": 60.641, "architecture_maturity": 32.297, "architecture_confidence": 83.15, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.57, "rotation_up": 59.96, "upward_expansion": 82.36, "deceleration": 57.31, "rotation_down": 23.89, "downward_expansion": 9.03 }, "activity_lines": [ 3185.416667, 3170.55, 3127.207143, 3086.845161 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3242.0, "trend_reference": 3044.708333, "distance_from_trend": 0.064798, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 2616.437345, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.239089, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 0.971022, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.080487, "excess_performance": 0.029251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.064798, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.030218, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.239089, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.057196, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.00971, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.013317, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.080487, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.217986, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 15816, "relative_activity": 0.50581, "balance": 1.217986, "dry_up": 2.036856, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.018367, "annualized_volatility": 0.152049, "from_high_reference": -0.014559, "from_low_reference": 0.208334 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 3044.708333, "fair_value_reference": 2616.437345, "structural_low": 2730.5, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 30, "median_return": 0.000535, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.00449, "regime_survival": 0.7, "best_return": 0.083897, "worst_return": -0.094957, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.017225, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.818182, "median_excess_return": 0.001877, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.064786, "worst_return": -0.067809, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.060234, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": 0.010882, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.148796, "worst_return": 0.002922, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"volume": 42713, "typical_volume": 31691.65, "trend": 3035.425, "fair_value": 2610.181946, "relative_strength": -0.638778, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.141254, "energy": 48.478675, "activity_lines": [ 3158.383333, 3151.95, 3109.592857, 3073.517742 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3242.0, "volume": 15816, "typical_volume": 31268.65, "trend": 3044.708333, "fair_value": 2616.437345, "relative_strength": 0.971022, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 82.090032, "energy": 60.640683, "activity_lines": [ 3185.416667, 3170.55, 3127.207143, 3086.845161 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }