{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "72ff6a60-155e-48c6-9434-9059fd300741",
    "symbol": "140580",
    "name": "KStar Prime Industry ETF (Equity)",
    "exchange": "KSC",
    "country": "KR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^KS11",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 61.295,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_down",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Down",
    "architecture_modifier": "Supply rotation",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -27.441,
    "architecture_energy": 46.893,
    "architecture_maturity": 6.571,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.558,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating downward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is weakening relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is deteriorating. Persistent negative Trend confirmation would establish Downward Expansion."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 35.53,
        "rotation_up": 14.32,
        "upward_expansion": 22.58,
        "deceleration": 53.87,
        "rotation_down": 70.03,
        "downward_expansion": 52.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        23768.666667,
        24871.545455,
        26019.409942,
        25762.89204
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 23630.0,
    "trend_reference": 25061.99388,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.057138,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 14929.520758,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.58277,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -8.705538,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.082394,
    "excess_performance": -0.147435,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.057138,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122734,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.58277,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.469944,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087055,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.08939,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082394,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.012125,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 459,
      "relative_activity": 0.119721,
      "balance": 1.012125,
      "dry_up": 1.60698,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.091019,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.323828,
      "from_high_reference": -0.212989,
      "from_low_reference": 0.570651
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 25061.99388,
      "fair_value_reference": 14929.520758,
      "structural_low": 20535.0,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.006431,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": 0.005611,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.032311,
        "worst_return": -0.005991,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.01225,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018086,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": -0.00818,
        "worst_return": -0.016321,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.011126,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.042255,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.048095,
        "worst_return": -0.070348,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.154694,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.088236,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.418386,
        "worst_return": -0.108998,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-07-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.011475,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-02",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.05544,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-10-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.003425,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-10-18",
        "end": "2024-11-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.018139,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-11-15",
        "end": "2025-01-10",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.040426,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-01-17",
        "end": "2025-01-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01107,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-02-07",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.039257,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.018464,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-02",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.042664,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-05-09",
        "end": "2026-03-27",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": 0.831018,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-04-03",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.117686,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-07-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.006437,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-07-10",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.096908,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 4312.8,
        "trend": 24743.336393,
        "fair_value": 14759.171431,
        "relative_strength": -13.649855,
        "stage": 3,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 22925.0,
        "volume": 4184,
        "typical_volume": 3988.6,
        "trend": 24904.09043,
        "fair_value": 14842.332551,
        "relative_strength": -16.391026,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -36.362547,
        "energy": 40.185818,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 23630.0,
        "volume": 459,
        "typical_volume": 3833.9,
        "trend": 25061.99388,
        "fair_value": 14929.520758,
        "relative_strength": -8.705538,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "modifier": "Supply rotation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -27.440901,
        "energy": 46.893363,
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    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}