{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73034e35-056c-4e93-985a-e36b3a419a0b",
    "symbol": "RTO",
    "name": "RTO Limited",
    "exchange": "NZE",
    "country": "NZ",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NZ50",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -93.967,
    "architecture_energy": 95.285,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.349,
    "architecture_confidence": 78.773,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 26.1,
        "rotation_up": 9.22,
        "upward_expansion": 21.41,
        "deceleration": 37.27,
        "rotation_down": 82.86,
        "downward_expansion": 94.74
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.1268,
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        0.131124,
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.119,
    "trend_reference": 0.142833,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.166861,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 0.200938,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.407776,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.633189,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.291667,
    "excess_performance": -0.31994,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.166861,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.072912,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.407776,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.004637,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.226332,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.041426,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.291667,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.459652,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 189,
      "relative_activity": 0.429204,
      "balance": 0.459652,
      "dry_up": 0.374134,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.031028,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.276077,
      "from_high_reference": -0.316092,
      "from_low_reference": 0.008475
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.142833,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.200938,
      "structural_low": 0.118,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 34,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.323529,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.352941,
        "median_excess_return": -0.005978,
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        "best_return": 0.500002,
        "worst_return": -0.325843,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "worst_return": -0.385,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 7,
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        "worst_return": -0.500001,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 4,
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        "worst_return": -0.333334,
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-08-23",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 1146.1,
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        "fair_value": 0.209429,
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "energy": 97.96566,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 1218.0,
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "energy": 38.612394,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "relative_strength": -10.128196,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 108,
        "typical_volume": 655.45,
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        "fair_value": 0.203319,
        "relative_strength": -12.353908,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -30.468177,
        "energy": 36.060821,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.134,
        "volume": 76,
        "typical_volume": 627.7,
        "trend": 0.146567,
        "fair_value": 0.202762,
        "relative_strength": -13.000181,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.166484,
        "energy": 24.756653,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.135867,
          0.1342,
          0.134076,
          0.139342
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.133,
        "volume": 376,
        "typical_volume": 635.4,
        "trend": 0.145467,
        "fair_value": 0.202199,
        "relative_strength": -14.046016,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -35.602996,
        "energy": 31.250131,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.1348,
          0.134455,
          0.133624,
          0.138467
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.126,
        "volume": 18,
        "typical_volume": 628.65,
        "trend": 0.144167,
        "fair_value": 0.201591,
        "relative_strength": -17.771936,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -76.337438,
        "energy": 59.618677,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.1316,
          0.133273,
          0.132638,
          0.137211
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.119,
        "volume": 189,
        "typical_volume": 440.35,
        "trend": 0.142833,
        "fair_value": 0.200938,
        "relative_strength": -22.633189,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -93.967477,
        "energy": 95.284642,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.1268,
          0.130673,
          0.131124,
          0.135587
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}