{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7305f8bb-1570-470e-9efa-083b1484105b", "symbol": "603536", "name": "Shandong Huifa Foodstuff Co.,Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -43.638, "architecture_energy": 29.67, "architecture_maturity": 93.601, "architecture_confidence": 86.67, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 26.59, "rotation_up": 26.83, "upward_expansion": 16.17, "deceleration": 46.97, "rotation_down": 35.6, "downward_expansion": 66.17 }, "activity_lines": [ 8.594667, 8.448, 8.86219, 9.212086 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 8.99, "trend_reference": 9.741, "distance_from_trend": -0.077097, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 9.976521, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.098884, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -12.663001, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.185688, "excess_performance": -0.142485, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.077097, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.117317, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.098884, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.176266, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.12663, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.047382, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.185688, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.775227, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 29045340, "relative_activity": 1.431145, "balance": 0.775227, "dry_up": 1.610427, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.0818, "annualized_volatility": 0.366397, "from_high_reference": -0.42993, "from_low_reference": 0.169051 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 9.741, "fair_value_reference": 9.976521, "structural_low": 7.69, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": -0.01128, "positive_rate": 0.458333, "directional_follow_through": 0.541667, "median_excess_return": -0.013596, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.204412, "worst_return": -0.15442, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.045508, "positive_rate": 0.625, "directional_follow_through": 0.375, "median_excess_return": -0.0174, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.418535, "worst_return": -0.183205, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.231689, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.096562, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.302647, "worst_return": -0.06535, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2024-10-11", "end": "2024-11-15", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.132164, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-11-22", "end": "2025-01-10", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.092492, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-01-17", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.160584, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-04-25", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.004391, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-05-02", "end": "2025-06-27", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.080552, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-07-04", "end": "2025-09-12", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.819396, "energy": 63.115801, "activity_lines": [ 8.048667, 8.294545, 8.920476, 9.324 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 8.98, "volume": 44061160, "typical_volume": 19869769.7, "trend": 9.812, "fair_value": 9.963609, "relative_strength": -10.511574, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.88382, "energy": 45.74442, "activity_lines": [ 8.354667, 8.362909, 8.888238, 9.265118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.99, "volume": 29045340, "typical_volume": 20295181.7, "trend": 9.741, "fair_value": 9.976521, "relative_strength": -12.663001, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -43.638468, "energy": 29.669742, "activity_lines": [ 8.594667, 8.448, 8.86219, 9.212086 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }