{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7318c439-d239-4cb0-bc7b-7dc74dee7aa6", "symbol": "900915", "name": "Zhonglu.Co.,Ltd", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -37.242, "architecture_energy": 38.144, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 89.497, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 24.04, "rotation_up": 30.66, "upward_expansion": 28.6, "deceleration": 44.16, "rotation_down": 31.35, "downward_expansion": 64.93 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.220067, 0.211509, 0.221505, 0.252652 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 0.258, "trend_reference": 0.2968, "distance_from_trend": -0.130728, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.439848, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.413434, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -28.397651, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.361386, "excess_performance": -0.318182, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.130728, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.208674, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.413434, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.03956, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.283977, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.141585, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.361386, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.808245, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4962213, "relative_activity": 3.446565, "balance": 0.808245, "dry_up": 1.1257, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.077221, "annualized_volatility": 0.618672, "from_high_reference": -0.472393, "from_low_reference": 0.563636 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.2968, "fair_value_reference": 0.439848, "structural_low": 0.165, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.000345, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.002427, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.297874, "worst_return": -0.485465, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.041389, "positive_rate": 0.454545, "directional_follow_through": 0.545455, "median_excess_return": -0.02939, "regime_survival": 0.636364, "best_return": 0.387805, "worst_return": -0.340984, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.048424, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.025482, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 0.244898, "worst_return": -0.504926, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"typical_volume": 1250501.85, "trend": 0.309333, "fair_value": 0.444317, "relative_strength": -43.516957, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -52.732866, "energy": 57.601787, "activity_lines": [ 0.201467, 0.200455, 0.226986, 0.262473 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.201, "volume": 325437, "typical_volume": 1235047.8, "trend": 0.3019, "fair_value": 0.441804, "relative_strength": -43.297382, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -54.201019, "energy": 58.37346, "activity_lines": [ 0.2014, 0.201018, 0.221152, 0.255484 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.258, "volume": 4962213, "typical_volume": 1439756.15, "trend": 0.2968, "fair_value": 0.439848, "relative_strength": -28.397651, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -37.241613, "energy": 38.144109, "activity_lines": [ 0.220067, 0.211509, 0.221505, 0.252652 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }