{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73276355-7d1d-470b-a916-822b0c1c9084",
    "symbol": "VEND",
    "name": "VEND MARKETPLACES ASA",
    "exchange": "OSL",
    "country": "NO",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 85.893,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -38.072,
    "architecture_energy": 21.788,
    "architecture_maturity": 20.145,
    "architecture_confidence": 92.652,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.63,
        "rotation_up": 21.18,
        "upward_expansion": 3.84,
        "deceleration": 45.95,
        "rotation_down": 40.68,
        "downward_expansion": 70.17
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        238.613334,
        239.167272,
        241.276072,
        242.479877
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Stable",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 246.0,
    "trend_reference": 246.447192,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.001815,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 265.880837,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.074773,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -22.01536,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.048132,
    "excess_performance": -0.173126,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.001815,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.056147,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.074773,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.032193,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.220154,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.084692,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.048132,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.031917,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1958530,
      "relative_activity": 0.818964,
      "balance": 1.031917,
      "dry_up": 1.141779,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.062789,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.393918,
      "from_high_reference": -0.369127,
      "from_low_reference": 0.113072
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 246.447192,
      "fair_value_reference": 265.880837,
      "structural_low": 221.010043,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.012746,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.012966,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.075792,
        "worst_return": -0.128418,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.027943,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.100856,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.208791,
        "worst_return": 0.010915,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.209642,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.196303,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.242568,
        "worst_return": 0.176715,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
        "median_return": 0.169918,
        "positive_rate": 1.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": 0.194787,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.169918,
        "worst_return": 0.169918,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2023-11-24",
        "end": "2024-05-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.26439,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-05-10",
        "end": "2024-05-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.008615,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-05-24",
        "end": "2024-08-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.213489,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-08-16",
        "end": "2024-09-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.058336,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-13",
        "end": "2024-12-27",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.095395,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-03",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.08253,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-02-28",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.060265,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-05-16",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.157113,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2025-05-23",
        "end": "2025-07-04",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.059095,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2025-09-05",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.045909,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2025-10-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.104315,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-11-28",
        "end": "2026-05-29",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.118037,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-06-05",
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        "return": -0.028436,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 225.0,
        "volume": 2859648,
        "typical_volume": 2535828.65,
        "trend": 249.153581,
        "fair_value": 264.509395,
        "relative_strength": -30.04783,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 38.937316,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 238.800003,
        "volume": 2582511,
        "typical_volume": 2528265.9,
        "trend": 247.852019,
        "fair_value": 265.193309,
        "relative_strength": -25.06409,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.961266,
        "energy": 34.293827,
        "activity_lines": [
          236.026667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 246.0,
        "volume": 1958530,
        "typical_volume": 2391473.35,
        "trend": 246.447192,
        "fair_value": 265.880837,
        "relative_strength": -22.01536,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -38.071553,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}