{ "ticker": { "uuid": "733a51d3-8e7c-4634-9762-6c957beb48f2", "symbol": "TTC", "name": "Toro Co", "exchange": "NYSE", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "SPY", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "balance", "architecture_regime_label": "Balance", "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": 24.286, "architecture_energy": 16.062, "architecture_maturity": 13.16, "architecture_confidence": 87.899, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.", "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base." }, "scores": { "balance": 68.61, "rotation_up": 42.27, "upward_expansion": 36.29, "deceleration": 37.35, "rotation_down": 25.45, "downward_expansion": 15.95 }, "activity_lines": [ 95.275333, 94.769452, 93.48529, 93.598637 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.166667 }, "latest_close": 99.64, "trend_reference": 93.693041, "distance_from_trend": 0.063473, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 82.616997, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.206047, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 3.578118, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.023374, "excess_performance": -0.102251, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.063473, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.073053, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.206047, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.058843, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.035781, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.015431, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.023374, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.118471, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 2507044, "relative_activity": 0.689639, "balance": 1.118471, "dry_up": 0.76515, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.060468, "annualized_volatility": 0.239494, "from_high_reference": -0.044585, "from_low_reference": 0.493122 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 93.693041, "fair_value_reference": 82.616997, "structural_low": 83.889365, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.028978, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.357143, "median_excess_return": -0.040088, "regime_survival": 0.285714, "best_return": 0.106683, "worst_return": -0.198263, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 9, "median_return": -0.044006, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.095409, "regime_survival": 0.444444, "best_return": 0.246523, "worst_return": -0.167952, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": -0.089144, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.146019, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 0.284621, "worst_return": 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2.316848, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "up", "direction": 37.64384, "energy": 28.506138, "activity_lines": [ 94.497333, 93.616878, 92.914665, 93.257184 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 91.87, "volume": 2706468, "typical_volume": 3803921.55, "trend": 93.315108, "fair_value": 82.600946, "relative_strength": -0.932259, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -10.207466, "energy": 4.839578, "activity_lines": [ 93.426, 93.500062, 92.823293, 93.19058 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 99.64, "volume": 2507044, "typical_volume": 3635299.9, "trend": 93.693041, "fair_value": 82.616997, "relative_strength": 3.578118, "stage": 2, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "mixed", "direction": 24.286045, "energy": 16.062185, "activity_lines": [ 95.275333, 94.769452, 93.48529, 93.598637 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }