{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73452fdb-3dff-4ca0-a217-64863d27d841", "symbol": "300058", "name": "BlueFocus Intelligent Communications Group Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -35.657, "architecture_energy": 28.702, "architecture_maturity": 21.455, "architecture_confidence": 47.667, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 40.29, "rotation_up": 23.31, "upward_expansion": 17.28, "deceleration": 59.85, "rotation_down": 42.97, "downward_expansion": 64.94 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.901333, 13.727385, 14.716291, 15.276212 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 15.88, "trend_reference": 16.187126, "distance_from_trend": -0.018973, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 9.224051, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.721586, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 24.203176, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.319331, "excess_performance": -0.326731, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.018973, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.112962, "read": "Rising" 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11.08, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.006722, "positive_rate": 0.46875, "directional_follow_through": 0.53125, "median_excess_return": -0.025683, "regime_survival": 0.8125, "best_return": 0.459864, "worst_return": -0.217544, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.063636, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.022085, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.748503, "worst_return": -0.20583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.026652, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.010447, "regime_survival": 0.166667, "best_return": 1.012963, "worst_return": -0.130361, 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"date": "2026-07-17", "close": 12.14, "volume": 1566221746, "typical_volume": 1498179912.35, "trend": 15.769792, "fair_value": 9.136132, "relative_strength": 1.560361, "stage": 3, "regime": "rotation_down", "modifier": "Structural failure", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.098424, "energy": 76.276221, "activity_lines": [ 13.173279, 14.039416, 15.149773, 15.678172 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 11.21, "volume": 1264263540, "typical_volume": 1480997973.25, "trend": 15.858792, "fair_value": 9.148388, "relative_strength": -7.10592, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -80.375295, "energy": 83.015605, "activity_lines": [ 12.39, 13.367389, 14.739517, 15.383992 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 14.35, "volume": 1652558601, "typical_volume": 1481399897.8, "trend": 16.041792, "fair_value": 9.178979, "relative_strength": 19.461081, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.57646, "energy": 56.086693, "activity_lines": [ 12.922, 13.383316, 14.653547, 15.286651 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 15.88, "volume": 3538959355, "typical_volume": 1600328086.2, "trend": 16.187126, "fair_value": 9.224051, "relative_strength": 24.203176, "stage": 3, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -35.656519, "energy": 28.70169, "activity_lines": [ 13.901333, 13.727385, 14.716291, 15.276212 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }