{ "ticker": { "uuid": "734a64ef-3af9-4d89-8f2f-c53a67c6bd6b", "symbol": "8050", "name": "IBASE Technology Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1c", "phase_label": "Stage 1C \u00b7 Breakout watch", "transition": "stage_1_to_2_watch", "transition_label": "Stage 1 \u2192 2 watch", "confidence": 64.761, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 58.838, "architecture_energy": 44.884, "architecture_maturity": 45.423, "architecture_confidence": 65.246, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.23, "rotation_up": 59.53, "upward_expansion": 79.11, "deceleration": 61.97, "rotation_down": 16.99, "downward_expansion": 5.77 }, "activity_lines": [ 60.283337, 58.13773, 54.867855, 51.457214 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 0.666667 }, "latest_close": 58.0, "trend_reference": 47.534458, "distance_from_trend": 0.220167, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 61.048127, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.04993, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -11.683956, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.436531, "excess_performance": -0.004841, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.220167, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10888, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.04993, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.223121, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.11684, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.242912, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.436531, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.144536, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 36476709, "relative_activity": 3.243977, "balance": 1.144536, "dry_up": 2.647974, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.143738, "annualized_volatility": 0.542566, "from_high_reference": -0.164265, "from_low_reference": 0.537695 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 47.534458, "fair_value_reference": 61.048127, "structural_low": 37.718792, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 25, "median_return": 0.011216, "positive_rate": 0.56, "directional_follow_through": 0.56, "median_excess_return": 0.000759, "regime_survival": 0.76, "best_return": 0.249744, "worst_return": -0.268496, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 10, "median_return": 0.017625, "positive_rate": 0.7, "directional_follow_through": 0.7, "median_excess_return": 0.041276, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 0.308176, "worst_return": -0.150526, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.074576, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": 0.060929, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.682046, "worst_return": -0.121021, "sufficient": true }, { 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"fair_value": 61.199437, "relative_strength": 7.622982, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 83.157723, "energy": 56.471276, "activity_lines": [ 60.594406, 57.840858, 54.108584, 50.74505 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 58.0, "volume": 36476709, "typical_volume": 11244440.85, "trend": 47.534458, "fair_value": 61.048127, "relative_strength": -11.683956, "stage": 1, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 58.838172, "energy": 44.884027, "activity_lines": [ 60.283337, 58.13773, 54.867855, 51.457214 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }