{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "735022af-828c-497d-9236-3fe31c814d2c",
    "symbol": "MTVS",
    "name": "L&G Metaverse ETF USD Acc",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 31.195,
    "architecture_energy": 29.717,
    "architecture_maturity": 75.602,
    "architecture_confidence": 95.63,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 47.66,
        "rotation_up": 19.51,
        "upward_expansion": 55.44,
        "deceleration": 94.0,
        "rotation_down": 34.43,
        "downward_expansion": 21.44
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      "activity_lines": [
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      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.0
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    "latest_close": 35.02,
    "trend_reference": 29.614667,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.182522,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 18.932263,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.849752,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 18.056964,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.543071,
    "excess_performance": 0.372179,
    "evidence": [
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        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.182522,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.196101,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.849752,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.090556,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.18057,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.189734,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.543071,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.824559,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 1531,
      "relative_activity": 0.583094,
      "balance": 1.824559,
      "dry_up": 0.928722,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 1
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    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.067214,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.344591,
      "from_high_reference": -0.109133,
      "from_low_reference": 0.949672
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    "levels": {
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      "fair_value_reference": 18.932263,
      "structural_low": 22.75,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
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    "outcomes": [
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        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.055925,
        "positive_rate": 0.8,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.8,
        "median_excess_return": 0.048889,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.012129,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
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        "horizon": "Extended",
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        "sufficient": false
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        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "end": "2024-10-18",
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        "active": false
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        "activity_lines": [
          36.427,
          34.308909,
          30.423357,
          28.304624
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 38.91,
        "volume": 2117,
        "typical_volume": 2595.25,
        "trend": 26.377,
        "fair_value": 17.87316,
        "relative_strength": 41.406434,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.084062,
        "energy": 81.123363,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.456667,
          35.543909,
          31.484524,
          29.152753
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 37.639999,
        "volume": 148,
        "typical_volume": 2467.15,
        "trend": 26.920833,
        "fair_value": 18.039083,
        "relative_strength": 39.508477,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.453661,
        "energy": 68.529852,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.673333,
          36.285182,
          32.3515,
          29.879398
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 37.235001,
        "volume": 1056,
        "typical_volume": 2506.45,
        "trend": 27.439167,
        "fair_value": 18.203628,
        "relative_strength": 32.671447,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.794726,
        "energy": 67.293649,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.59,
          36.759,
          33.108738,
          30.544828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 37.105,
        "volume": 1874,
        "typical_volume": 2476.2,
        "trend": 27.971833,
        "fair_value": 18.364878,
        "relative_strength": 31.472923,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.898301,
        "energy": 65.527452,
        "activity_lines": [
          37.461,
          37.054091,
          33.786476,
          31.16843
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 33.355,
        "volume": 2493,
        "typical_volume": 2481.25,
        "trend": 28.398334,
        "fair_value": 18.50259,
        "relative_strength": 19.031189,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 50.100003,
        "energy": 51.731189,
        "activity_lines": [
          36.072667,
          36.522182,
          34.04281,
          31.515731
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 34.610001,
        "volume": 1275,
        "typical_volume": 2473.35,
        "trend": 28.846167,
        "fair_value": 18.647128,
        "relative_strength": 22.704822,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 43.887362,
        "energy": 38.553683,
        "activity_lines": [
          35.326334,
          36.208546,
          34.372643,
          31.916484
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 32.935001,
        "volume": 4455,
        "typical_volume": 2652.55,
        "trend": 29.2025,
        "fair_value": 18.782468,
        "relative_strength": 15.194035,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 34.647954,
        "energy": 29.431621,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.308334,
          35.562273,
          34.489286,
          32.18028
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 35.02,
        "volume": 1531,
        "typical_volume": 2625.65,
        "trend": 29.614667,
        "fair_value": 18.932263,
        "relative_strength": 18.056964,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 31.195018,
        "energy": 29.716608,
        "activity_lines": [
          34.299,
          35.335637,
          34.761048,
          32.555602
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}