{ "ticker": { "uuid": "735053e8-5dbc-41e7-9529-21809dd7ceb0", "symbol": "300572", "name": "Shenzhen Anche Technologies Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -66.279, "architecture_energy": 86.07, "architecture_maturity": 29.929, "architecture_confidence": 87.434, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 17.79, "rotation_up": 8.21, "upward_expansion": 21.55, "deceleration": 37.01, "rotation_down": 77.28, "downward_expansion": 94.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 18.914667, 21.374546, 24.822714, 25.948258 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 20.450001, "trend_reference": 27.234333, "distance_from_trend": -0.24911, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 19.992774, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.02287, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -28.757931, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.24899, "excess_performance": -0.25639, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.24911, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.071694, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.02287, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.764214, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.287579, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.348161, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.24899, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.370085, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 30241571, "relative_activity": 1.068037, "balance": 0.370085, "dry_up": 1.282553, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 6 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.161633, "annualized_volatility": 0.662929, "from_high_reference": -0.444142, "from_low_reference": 0.426081 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.234333, "fair_value_reference": 19.992774, "structural_low": 14.34, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 24, "median_return": 0.009275, "positive_rate": 0.541667, "directional_follow_through": 0.458333, "median_excess_return": -0.004773, "regime_survival": 0.791667, "best_return": 0.249395, "worst_return": -0.222612, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.022384, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.067379, "regime_survival": 0.375, "best_return": 0.408748, "worst_return": -0.268212, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.030775, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.008577, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.445634, "worst_return": -0.177507, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.624509, "energy": 64.700572, "activity_lines": [ 25.890667, 27.312364, 28.339381, 28.442301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 18.32, "volume": 35622361, "typical_volume": 26122483.55, "trend": 28.242333, "fair_value": 20.016564, "relative_strength": -35.013383, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -89.411337, "energy": 82.199197, "activity_lines": [ 23.225333, 25.372364, 27.380238, 27.777097 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 17.379999, "volume": 53229926, "typical_volume": 27508677.35, "trend": 27.874333, "fair_value": 20.009755, "relative_strength": -38.115832, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -86.344346, "energy": 88.067986, "activity_lines": [ 20.808666, 23.557272, 26.381952, 27.076301 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.440001, "volume": 26168609, "typical_volume": 27837995.1, "trend": 27.500333, "fair_value": 19.999234, "relative_strength": -36.538767, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -78.830912, "energy": 90.959997, "activity_lines": [ 19.041333, 22.049091, 25.437476, 26.403118 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 20.450001, "volume": 30241571, "typical_volume": 28315093.55, "trend": 27.234333, "fair_value": 19.992774, "relative_strength": -28.757931, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.279061, "energy": 86.069982, "activity_lines": [ 18.914667, 21.374546, 24.822714, 25.948258 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }