{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73549e60-333c-40cc-9017-8ff67768837e", "symbol": "JIN", "name": "Jinhui Shipping and Transportation Limited", "exchange": "OSL", "country": "NO", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "OSEBX.OL", "stage": 3, "stage_name": "Distribution", "phase": "3b", "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution", "transition": "stage_3_churning", "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact", "confidence": 72.06, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 33.021, "architecture_energy": 16.494, "architecture_maturity": 31.48, "architecture_confidence": 72.031, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 47.43, "rotation_up": 32.62, "upward_expansion": 60.03, "deceleration": 83.23, "rotation_down": 22.1, "downward_expansion": 12.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 6.130667, 6.122909, 6.149408, 6.073374 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.333333 }, "latest_close": 6.16, "trend_reference": 5.960614, "distance_from_trend": 0.033451, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.074106, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.014141, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -8.412176, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.087645, "excess_performance": -0.037349, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.033451, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.016423, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.014141, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.000963, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.084122, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.000933, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.087645, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.654049, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 85177, "relative_activity": 0.474174, "balance": 0.654049, "dry_up": 0.471742, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.036178, "annualized_volatility": 0.110041, "from_high_reference": -0.086121, "from_low_reference": 0.183491 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 5.960614, "fair_value_reference": 6.074106, "structural_low": 5.304654, "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.006557, "positive_rate": 0.272727, "directional_follow_through": 0.272727, "median_excess_return": -0.062835, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.124567, "worst_return": -0.157061, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.077419, "positive_rate": 0.2, "directional_follow_through": 0.2, "median_excess_return": -0.178558, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.01049, "worst_return": -0.25051, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.087185, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.252045, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.208163, "worst_return": -0.316409, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"relative_strength": -6.63257, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 29.567176, "energy": 19.790477, "activity_lines": [ 6.106667, 6.171082, 6.121342, 6.024828 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 6.08, "volume": 95031, "typical_volume": 210681.5, "trend": 5.924943, "fair_value": 6.084935, "relative_strength": -7.721251, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.211728, "energy": 17.197455, "activity_lines": [ 6.093333, 6.1459, 6.127832, 6.035298 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 6.06, "volume": 104692, "typical_volume": 202449.65, "trend": 5.936826, "fair_value": 6.078947, "relative_strength": -9.863798, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 17.621996, "energy": 12.248579, "activity_lines": [ 6.081333, 6.119663, 6.130434, 6.044012 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 6.18, "volume": 54061, "typical_volume": 194042.55, "trend": 5.948056, "fair_value": 6.076209, "relative_strength": -8.215929, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 24.312956, "energy": 11.820291, "activity_lines": [ 6.112, 6.121091, 6.142388, 6.0597 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 6.16, "volume": 85177, "typical_volume": 179632.45, "trend": 5.960614, "fair_value": 6.074106, "relative_strength": -8.412176, "stage": 3, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 33.021084, "energy": 16.494067, "activity_lines": [ 6.130667, 6.122909, 6.149408, 6.073374 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }