{ "ticker": { "uuid": "735eaa9b-ca03-4ee9-a508-c52ac47e838f", "symbol": "300685", "name": "Amoy Diagnostics Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -42.499, "architecture_energy": 31.617, "architecture_maturity": 63.333, "architecture_confidence": 66.532, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 34.71, "rotation_up": 24.88, "upward_expansion": 15.74, "deceleration": 66.11, "rotation_down": 34.39, "downward_expansion": 61.08 }, "activity_lines": [ 17.472, 17.381091, 18.214595, 18.946869 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 18.02, "trend_reference": 19.814768, "distance_from_trend": -0.090577, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.831713, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.134973, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -16.868912, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.156766, "excess_performance": -0.164166, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.090577, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.061508, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.134973, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.059907, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.168689, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.093623, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.156766, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.812897, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 33997223, "relative_activity": 0.880788, "balance": 0.812897, "dry_up": 1.077721, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.090407, "annualized_volatility": 0.388508, "from_high_reference": -0.295102, "from_low_reference": 0.113721 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 19.814768, "fair_value_reference": 20.831713, "structural_low": 16.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": 0.006649, "positive_rate": 0.5625, "directional_follow_through": 0.4375, "median_excess_return": 0.018324, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": 0.198083, "worst_return": -0.202185, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.015248, "positive_rate": 0.545455, "directional_follow_through": 0.454545, "median_excess_return": 0.04579, "regime_survival": 0.454545, "best_return": 0.331733, "worst_return": -0.268242, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.064211, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.625, "median_excess_return": -0.046186, "regime_survival": 0.625, "best_return": 0.22775, "worst_return": -0.407115, "sufficient": true }, { 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"typical_volume": 40250237.0, "trend": 20.089412, "fair_value": 20.93402, "relative_strength": -17.911841, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.524531, "energy": 47.847248, "activity_lines": [ 17.386, 17.705818, 18.84512, 19.459773 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 16.52, "volume": 43454428, "typical_volume": 40937760.85, "trend": 19.969778, "fair_value": 20.896093, "relative_strength": -22.473631, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.705287, "energy": 45.981788, "activity_lines": [ 17.162667, 17.403455, 18.542933, 19.229488 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 17.450001, "volume": 30976169, "typical_volume": 40646687.0, "trend": 19.880818, "fair_value": 20.86229, "relative_strength": -16.065715, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.588103, "energy": 40.860675, "activity_lines": [ 17.264667, 17.326727, 18.344033, 19.066922 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 18.02, "volume": 33997223, "typical_volume": 38598652.45, "trend": 19.814768, "fair_value": 20.831713, "relative_strength": -16.868912, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -42.498599, "energy": 31.617142, "activity_lines": [ 17.472, 17.381091, 18.214595, 18.946869 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }