{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73611935-7366-46af-a1ca-92a5dd4efb67",
    "symbol": "600798",
    "name": "Ningbo Marine Company Limited",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -57.593,
    "architecture_energy": 43.153,
    "architecture_maturity": 48.222,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.611,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 14.41,
        "rotation_up": 24.49,
        "upward_expansion": 6.47,
        "deceleration": 59.49,
        "rotation_down": 47.1,
        "downward_expansion": 77.47
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        3.178,
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        3.344071,
        3.457709
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 3.21,
    "trend_reference": 3.579633,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.10326,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 3.418874,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.061094,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -12.979429,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.155263,
    "excess_performance": -0.112059,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.10326,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.04594,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061094,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.164961,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.129794,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.014867,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.155263,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.828725,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 67977335,
      "relative_activity": 0.716585,
      "balance": 0.828725,
      "dry_up": 0.723401,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.073479,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.315229,
      "from_high_reference": -0.324211,
      "from_low_reference": 0.07
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    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 3.579633,
      "fair_value_reference": 3.418874,
      "structural_low": 3.0,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 28,
        "median_return": -0.006951,
        "positive_rate": 0.464286,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.535714,
        "median_excess_return": 4.6e-05,
        "regime_survival": 0.785714,
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        "worst_return": -0.125908,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 10,
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        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.144748,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
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        "worst_return": -0.160884,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "direction": -69.226302,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 112738461.65,
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        "fair_value": 3.422169,
        "relative_strength": -12.918783,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.703588,
        "energy": 73.495477,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 3.22,
        "volume": 55547817,
        "typical_volume": 100553211.3,
        "trend": 3.589966,
        "fair_value": 3.420648,
        "relative_strength": -10.81927,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -61.702078,
        "energy": 51.263838,
        "activity_lines": [
          3.153952,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 3.21,
        "volume": 67977335,
        "typical_volume": 94862956.4,
        "trend": 3.579633,
        "fair_value": 3.418874,
        "relative_strength": -12.979429,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -57.593138,
        "energy": 43.15285,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}