{ "ticker": { "uuid": "737cfdf4-f5bf-4fb4-9c9a-6050d4de2bf6", "symbol": "BSLI3", "name": "BRB - Banco de Bras\u00edlia S.A.", "exchange": "SAO", "country": "BR", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^BVSP", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -64.083, "architecture_energy": 60.673, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 94.988, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 8.74, "rotation_up": 28.98, "upward_expansion": 11.31, "deceleration": 57.61, "rotation_down": 52.58, "downward_expansion": 84.65 }, "activity_lines": [ 2.97, 3.003818, 3.226476, 3.514022 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 2.97, "trend_reference": 4.012, "distance_from_trend": -0.259721, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 8.50992, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.650996, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -52.269123, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.27561, "excess_performance": -0.218561, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.259721, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.255935, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.650996, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.063097, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.522691, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.015793, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.27561, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.685666, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 109800, "relative_activity": 0.943015, "balance": 0.685666, "dry_up": 0.549663, "accumulation_observations": 1, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.088319, "annualized_volatility": 0.473604, "from_high_reference": -0.72526, "from_low_reference": 0.034843 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.012, "fair_value_reference": 8.50992, "structural_low": 2.87, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 49, "median_return": -0.037393, "positive_rate": 0.285714, "directional_follow_through": 0.673469, "median_excess_return": -0.035284, "regime_survival": 0.918367, "best_return": 0.278164, "worst_return": -0.267591, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 16, "median_return": -0.110266, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.11458, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.058182, "worst_return": -0.363636, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.212409, "positive_rate": 0.0, "directional_follow_through": 1.0, "median_excess_return": -0.208856, "regime_survival": 0.75, "best_return": -0.035498, "worst_return": -0.54697, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"2026-07-10", "close": 3.0, "volume": 140100, "typical_volume": 178790.0, "trend": 4.491333, "fair_value": 8.79108, "relative_strength": -57.198428, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.11936, "energy": 82.121436, "activity_lines": [ 3.037333, 3.192182, 3.49019, 3.862667 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 2.95, "volume": 95300, "typical_volume": 173735.0, "trend": 4.382667, "fair_value": 8.719509, "relative_strength": -56.065588, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -71.099156, "energy": 70.947643, "activity_lines": [ 2.992667, 3.12, 3.40981, 3.763226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 3.0, "volume": 24900, "typical_volume": 117945.0, "trend": 4.262667, "fair_value": 8.648258, "relative_strength": -54.409323, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.585408, "energy": 65.493222, "activity_lines": [ 2.988667, 3.074, 3.343, 3.674022 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 2.95, "volume": 26000, "typical_volume": 115510.0, "trend": 4.137333, "fair_value": 8.581181, "relative_strength": -55.171669, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.326392, "energy": 64.43728, "activity_lines": [ 2.974667, 3.033455, 3.279857, 3.589333 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 2.97, "volume": 109800, "typical_volume": 116435.0, "trend": 4.012, "fair_value": 8.50992, "relative_strength": -52.269123, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.083072, "energy": 60.672726, "activity_lines": [ 2.97, 3.003818, 3.226476, 3.514022 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }