{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "739ee1ae-f539-4aab-bb0b-8e3e2cf8add2",
    "symbol": "5TJ",
    "name": "Far East Group Limited",
    "exchange": "SES",
    "country": "SG",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^STI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 55.325,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 59.031,
    "architecture_energy": 53.377,
    "architecture_maturity": 21.395,
    "architecture_confidence": 76.16,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 16.06,
        "rotation_up": 55.53,
        "upward_expansion": 84.05,
        "deceleration": 49.63,
        "rotation_down": 19.9,
        "downward_expansion": 10.72
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        0.118,
        0.117091,
        0.113557,
        0.111652
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 0.118,
    "trend_reference": 0.1094,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.078611,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 0.083522,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.412803,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.103131,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.072727,
    "excess_performance": -0.082108,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.078611,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.00644,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.412803,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.165328,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.061031,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.020069,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.072727,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.894942,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 0,
      "relative_activity": 0.0,
      "balance": 0.894942,
      "dry_up": 0.213331,
      "accumulation_observations": 1,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.049544,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.34925,
      "from_high_reference": -0.085271,
      "from_low_reference": 0.638889
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 0.1094,
      "fair_value_reference": 0.083522,
      "structural_low": 0.099,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": 0.0,
        "positive_rate": 0.315789,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.315789,
        "median_excess_return": -0.016165,
        "regime_survival": 0.578947,
        "best_return": 0.357277,
        "worst_return": -0.285714,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.116881,
        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.186408,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.0,
        "worst_return": -0.23478,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.23478,
        "positive_rate": 0.2,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.2,
        "median_excess_return": -0.25497,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.357277,
        "worst_return": -0.345134,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.021695,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.185603,
        "regime_survival": 0.666667,
        "best_return": 0.101567,
        "worst_return": -0.17699,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2024-12-13",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.058817,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "return": 0.062493,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2026-04-10",
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        "typical_volume": 43075.0,
        "trend": 0.108467,
        "fair_value": 0.082618,
        "relative_strength": -3.516198,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -58.195045,
        "energy": 68.622416,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 41455.0,
        "trend": 0.108633,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "typical_volume": 42450.0,
        "trend": 0.1084,
        "fair_value": 0.082522,
        "relative_strength": -4.547765,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -56.833853,
        "energy": 46.986923,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "typical_volume": 47600.0,
        "trend": 0.108467,
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        "relative_strength": 1.887485,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -2.133762,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 54540.0,
        "trend": 0.1087,
        "fair_value": 0.082503,
        "relative_strength": -3.33248,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Emerging rotation",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 21.653612,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 54505.0,
        "trend": 0.1081,
        "fair_value": 0.08249,
        "relative_strength": -1.167809,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Value reclamation",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 12.838556,
        "energy": 24.150788,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "typical_volume": 54250.0,
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        "fair_value": 0.082477,
        "relative_strength": -0.999623,
        "stage": 3,
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        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 0.127,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 52690.0,
        "trend": 0.107467,
        "fair_value": 0.082573,
        "relative_strength": 10.29454,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 90.034804,
        "energy": 82.33344,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "volume": 4200,
        "typical_volume": 43420.0,
        "trend": 0.1069,
        "fair_value": 0.082567,
        "relative_strength": -3.75484,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.08983,
        "energy": 61.639606,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.114667,
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          0.108118
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 0.113,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 43420.0,
        "trend": 0.107433,
        "fair_value": 0.082687,
        "relative_strength": -3.126568,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.148038,
        "energy": 56.01386,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.114667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 0.118,
        "volume": 4900,
        "typical_volume": 43665.0,
        "trend": 0.107833,
        "fair_value": 0.082845,
        "relative_strength": -3.378718,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 65.292246,
        "energy": 56.126882,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.115933,
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          0.110281,
          0.109194
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 0.118,
        "volume": 20100,
        "typical_volume": 26785.0,
        "trend": 0.108267,
        "fair_value": 0.08301,
        "relative_strength": -3.740937,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.920194,
        "energy": 37.955432,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.116667,
          0.115018,
          0.111171,
          0.109849
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 0.118,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23555.0,
        "trend": 0.108733,
        "fair_value": 0.08318,
        "relative_strength": -4.829396,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.756777,
        "energy": 42.122428,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.116867,
          0.115909,
          0.112014,
          0.110477
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 0.118,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23555.0,
        "trend": 0.109067,
        "fair_value": 0.083351,
        "relative_strength": -5.213431,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.605493,
        "energy": 58.179354,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.117667,
          0.116545,
          0.11281,
          0.111075
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 0.118,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 23555.0,
        "trend": 0.1094,
        "fair_value": 0.083522,
        "relative_strength": -6.103131,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 59.031401,
        "energy": 53.377053,
        "activity_lines": [
          0.118,
          0.117091,
          0.113557,
          0.111652
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}