{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73a0a722-b6aa-4de8-b9c2-58a558b627bf", "symbol": "ALCA", "name": "Alcadon Group AB (publ)", "exchange": "STO", "country": "SE", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^OMX", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 8.118, "architecture_energy": 9.854, "architecture_maturity": 31.316, "architecture_confidence": 80.086, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 55.66, "rotation_up": 21.26, "upward_expansion": 40.55, "deceleration": 77.95, "rotation_down": 31.56, "downward_expansion": 34.55 }, "activity_lines": [ 31.286667, 31.463636, 32.067619, 31.636344 ], "activity_state": "Compressed", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 31.6, "trend_reference": 30.246667, "distance_from_trend": 0.044743, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 29.648718, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065813, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 5.779759, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.373913, "excess_performance": 0.312419, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.044743, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.10108, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.065813, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106287, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.057798, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.282336, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.373913, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.809382, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 37505, "relative_activity": 0.34937, "balance": 0.809382, "dry_up": 0.398054, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.065725, "annualized_volatility": 0.451054, "from_high_reference": -0.166227, "from_low_reference": 0.775281 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 30.246667, "fair_value_reference": 29.648718, "structural_low": 20.1, "invalidation": "A 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16.785763, "activity_lines": [ 32.246667, 32.594545, 32.551429, 31.135269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 30.4, "volume": 56009, "typical_volume": 129789.35, "trend": 29.303333, "fair_value": 29.826603, "relative_strength": 7.126819, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.709423, "energy": 9.243467, "activity_lines": [ 31.633333, 32.132727, 32.427143, 31.223226 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.0, "volume": 36777, "typical_volume": 127664.9, "trend": 29.56, "fair_value": 29.775641, "relative_strength": 10.210415, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.489651, "energy": 10.977468, "activity_lines": [ 31.32, 31.818182, 32.327143, 31.332688 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.1, "volume": 16698, "typical_volume": 123761.45, "trend": 29.806667, "fair_value": 29.735256, "relative_strength": 8.545416, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 7.565517, "energy": 12.385088, "activity_lines": [ 31.14, 31.603636, 32.222857, 31.432043 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 31.4, "volume": 79945, "typical_volume": 117618.15, "trend": 30.026667, "fair_value": 29.686538, "relative_strength": 7.676386, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 6.491627, "energy": 13.445865, "activity_lines": [ 31.16, 31.501818, 32.137143, 31.534839 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 31.6, "volume": 37505, "typical_volume": 107350.25, "trend": 30.246667, "fair_value": 29.648718, "relative_strength": 5.779759, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 8.118241, "energy": 9.853866, "activity_lines": [ 31.286667, 31.463636, 32.067619, 31.636344 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }