{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73ad4a4a-251f-4305-bf5c-6c6b80433f93", "symbol": "300346", "name": "Jiangsu Nata Opto-electronic Material Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -1.622, "architecture_energy": 20.504, "architecture_maturity": 62.06, "architecture_confidence": 67.796, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 49.0, "rotation_up": 14.87, "upward_expansion": 23.09, "deceleration": 76.16, "rotation_down": 58.46, "downward_expansion": 33.76 }, "activity_lines": [ 55.659333, 61.426909, 59.973698, 57.836998 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.333333 }, "latest_close": 58.32, "trend_reference": 56.171493, "distance_from_trend": 0.038249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 33.874927, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.721627, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": 17.235868, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.061395, "excess_performance": 0.053996, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.038249, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.155175, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.721627, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.010217, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.172359, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.090736, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.061395, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.103266, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 313475616, "relative_activity": 1.412112, "balance": 1.103266, "dry_up": 1.384375, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 5 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.195496, "annualized_volatility": 0.673163, "from_high_reference": -0.342206, "from_low_reference": 0.905788 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 56.171493, "fair_value_reference": 33.874927, "structural_low": 43.364184, "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 18, "median_return": 0.031343, "positive_rate": 0.555556, "directional_follow_through": 0.555556, "median_excess_return": 0.014386, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.412418, "worst_return": -0.204309, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.021638, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": 0.059799, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.528678, "worst_return": -0.205085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.127664, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": 0.045315, "regime_survival": 0.2, "best_return": 0.576069, "worst_return": -0.317315, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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58.229935 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 53.599998, "volume": 306509509, "typical_volume": 202075388.05, "trend": 55.533304, "fair_value": 33.524631, "relative_strength": 13.159664, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Re-accelerating", "gate": "up", "direction": 28.895952, "energy": 22.38295, "activity_lines": [ 63.923332, 64.900181, 60.581546, 58.12756 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 48.360001, "volume": 332126398, "typical_volume": 212140060.85, "trend": 55.650411, "fair_value": 33.666045, "relative_strength": 3.178273, "stage": 4, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "up", "direction": 4.257859, "energy": 16.827184, "activity_lines": [ 57.139333, 62.182909, 59.799121, 57.664766 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 58.32, "volume": 313475616, "typical_volume": 221990673.05, "trend": 56.171493, "fair_value": 33.874927, "relative_strength": 17.235868, "stage": 2, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -1.621551, "energy": 20.504239, "activity_lines": [ 55.659333, 61.426909, 59.973698, 57.836998 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }