{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73ae111d-db7f-4be4-ae73-77d01fb0eed3", "symbol": "6169", "name": "InterServ International Inc.", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -70.749, "architecture_energy": 68.432, "architecture_maturity": 100.0, "architecture_confidence": 84.092, "architecture_tenure": "Extended", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.77, "rotation_up": 15.02, "upward_expansion": 14.13, "deceleration": 39.71, "rotation_down": 72.29, "downward_expansion": 92.13 }, "activity_lines": [ 13.223333, 13.726364, 14.325, 14.941613 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 12.9, "trend_reference": 15.886667, "distance_from_trend": -0.187998, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 20.584615, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.373318, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -48.946573, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.287293, "excess_performance": -0.728665, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.187998, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.099736, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.373318, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.0522, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.489466, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.025786, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.287293, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.773895, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 75149, "relative_activity": 0.418288, "balance": 1.773895, "dry_up": 0.414984, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.097197, "annualized_volatility": 0.265506, "from_high_reference": -0.392941, "from_low_reference": 0.027888 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 15.886667, "fair_value_reference": 20.584615, "structural_low": 12.55, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 32, "median_return": -0.012867, "positive_rate": 0.375, "directional_follow_through": 0.5625, "median_excess_return": -0.024863, "regime_survival": 0.90625, "best_return": 0.295337, "worst_return": -0.139583, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": -0.039801, "positive_rate": 0.363636, "directional_follow_through": 0.636364, "median_excess_return": -0.010274, "regime_survival": 0.727273, "best_return": 0.227622, "worst_return": -0.185417, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 6, "median_return": 0.002532, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": -0.04438, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 0.077519, "worst_return": -0.18136, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Full 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"color": "teal", "start": "2024-06-07", "end": "2024-06-28", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.090909, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2024-07-05", "end": "2024-08-09", "tenure": "Developing", "return": -0.171815, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2024-08-16", "end": "2024-08-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.002326, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_down", "label": "Rotation Down", "color": "orange", "start": "2024-08-30", "end": "2024-09-20", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.029545, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2024-09-27", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Extended", "return": -0.023923, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.020522, "active": 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"direction": -63.227484, "energy": 44.364156, "activity_lines": [ 14.216667, 14.455455, 14.963095, 15.565376 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 13.55, "volume": 58737, "typical_volume": 182862.15, "trend": 16.315, "fair_value": 20.719231, "relative_strength": -45.206135, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.643244, "energy": 52.250667, "activity_lines": [ 13.956667, 14.275455, 14.777857, 15.374731 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 12.8, "volume": 72735, "typical_volume": 182059.25, "trend": 16.098333, "fair_value": 20.647756, "relative_strength": -48.519458, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -75.049078, "energy": 64.255395, "activity_lines": [ 13.513333, 13.980909, 14.536667, 15.147957 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 12.9, "volume": 75149, "typical_volume": 179658.55, "trend": 15.886667, "fair_value": 20.584615, "relative_strength": -48.946573, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -70.749, "energy": 68.432373, "activity_lines": [ 13.223333, 13.726364, 14.325, 14.941613 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }