{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73bb3185-c8cd-4e38-a552-c59e28d653c6",
    "symbol": "ENPH",
    "name": "Enphase Energy Inc",
    "exchange": "NASDAQ",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "QQQ",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 72.662,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Momentum cooling",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -19.017,
    "architecture_energy": 25.139,
    "architecture_maturity": 32.501,
    "architecture_confidence": 57.606,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 45.36,
        "rotation_up": 15.54,
        "upward_expansion": 15.58,
        "deceleration": 60.03,
        "rotation_down": 62.21,
        "downward_expansion": 45.24
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.838667,
        42.507091,
        45.476833,
        44.656333
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 41.87,
    "trend_reference": 43.5275,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.038079,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 73.238558,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.428307,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.772511,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.159237,
    "excess_performance": -0.346691,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.038079,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122754,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.428307,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.131821,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.067725,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.122662,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.159237,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.153691,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 26621496,
      "relative_activity": 0.789343,
      "balance": 1.153691,
      "dry_up": 0.714232,
      "accumulation_observations": 4,
      "distribution_observations": 4
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.249349,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.871215,
      "from_high_reference": -0.432194,
      "from_low_reference": 0.624442
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 43.5275,
      "fair_value_reference": 73.238558,
      "structural_low": 29.9,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.128396,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.09386,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.227603,
        "worst_return": -0.330286,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.029973,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.046741,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.033464,
        "worst_return": -0.150226,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": -0.033738,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.019341,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.054313,
        "worst_return": -0.121789,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.005255,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.067873,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.562151,
        "worst_return": -0.551641,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2022-11-25",
        "end": "2023-01-06",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.268518,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2023-01-13",
        "end": "2023-01-20",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.09474,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2023-01-27",
        "end": "2023-02-03",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.061117,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2023-02-10",
        "end": "2024-01-05",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.455887,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2024-01-12",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.168572,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-10-25",
        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Extended",
        "return": -0.579864,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-01-23",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.128073,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-01-30",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.346674,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-04-03",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.197057,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-04-10",
        "end": "2026-04-17",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.041526,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2026-04-24",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.01901,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2026-05-22",
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        "return": 0.210626,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "end": "2026-06-26",
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        "return": -0.303979,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.027862,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "relative_strength": -1.17347,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
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        "direction": 22.232337,
        "energy": 20.934804,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 33395630.3,
        "trend": 43.056167,
        "fair_value": 75.24766,
        "relative_strength": -4.058068,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 11.853894,
        "energy": 19.457761,
        "activity_lines": [
          44.254667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 36.7,
        "volume": 18561627,
        "typical_volume": 33086601.0,
        "trend": 43.1795,
        "fair_value": 74.493622,
        "relative_strength": -13.680944,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -25.585184,
        "energy": 26.802532,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 37.54,
        "volume": 34071198,
        "typical_volume": 33632668.95,
        "trend": 43.305833,
        "fair_value": 73.836827,
        "relative_strength": -12.122809,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -23.731153,
        "energy": 27.052465,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.462667,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 41.87,
        "volume": 26621496,
        "typical_volume": 33726160.1,
        "trend": 43.5275,
        "fair_value": 73.238558,
        "relative_strength": -6.772511,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Momentum cooling",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -19.016652,
        "energy": 25.139055,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}