{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73c75ab6-b7a4-48dc-a87f-3a2f7529d0c4",
    "symbol": "CAPTRUST",
    "name": "Capital Trust Limited",
    "exchange": "NSI",
    "country": "IN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^NSEI",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 91.027,
    "architecture_energy": 93.133,
    "architecture_maturity": 24.0,
    "architecture_confidence": 68.238,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 31.29,
        "rotation_up": 83.24,
        "upward_expansion": 94.02,
        "deceleration": 44.67,
        "rotation_down": 10.72,
        "downward_expansion": 23.02
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        16.830667,
        15.231091,
        14.359952,
        13.910022
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 19.360001,
    "trend_reference": 13.671,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.416136,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 78.266879,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.752641,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.027402,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.277888,
    "excess_performance": 0.321597,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.416136,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.018875,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.752641,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.085594,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000274,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.611219,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.277888,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 8.89071,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 734190,
      "relative_activity": 4.933602,
      "balance": 8.89071,
      "dry_up": 3.360254,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 0
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.076844,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.518745,
      "from_high_reference": -0.677333,
      "from_low_reference": 0.763206
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 13.671,
      "fair_value_reference": 78.266879,
      "structural_low": 10.98,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 16,
        "median_return": -0.066656,
        "positive_rate": 0.3125,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.3125,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049514,
        "regime_survival": 0.625,
        "best_return": 0.33536,
        "worst_return": -0.287215,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": -0.119814,
        "positive_rate": 0.285714,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.285714,
        "median_excess_return": -0.147216,
        "regime_survival": 0.142857,
        "best_return": 0.211864,
        "worst_return": -0.25922,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.185169,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.054121,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.211426,
        "worst_return": -0.360434,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.051282,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.105734,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.416496,
        "worst_return": -0.562242,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "start": "2023-08-04",
        "end": "2023-10-20",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2023-12-22",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
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        "end": "2024-10-25",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.162697,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "end": "2024-12-06",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.19226,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "color": "amber",
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        "return": -0.074404,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "date": "2026-04-24",
        "close": 12.99,
        "volume": 144375,
        "typical_volume": 373143.7,
        "trend": 16.245762,
        "fair_value": 84.482648,
        "relative_strength": -65.029873,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -40.647857,
        "energy": 25.926097,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.786667,
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          12.896,
          13.785189
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
        "close": 13.39,
        "volume": 30958,
        "typical_volume": 343797.75,
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        "fair_value": 84.118161,
        "relative_strength": -62.7007,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 24.07131,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.104,
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          12.924857,
          13.600946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "volume": 51711,
        "typical_volume": 325884.3,
        "trend": 15.305667,
        "fair_value": 83.763673,
        "relative_strength": -61.149312,
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "energy": 19.519075,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.335333,
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          12.960809,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 13.0,
        "volume": 25236,
        "typical_volume": 288630.25,
        "trend": 14.779333,
        "fair_value": 83.409507,
        "relative_strength": -60.170348,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.365617,
        "energy": 16.003196,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.236667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 14.61,
        "volume": 108062,
        "typical_volume": 268760.9,
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        "fair_value": 83.073032,
        "relative_strength": -53.034796,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": 11.979497,
        "energy": 18.920004,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.698,
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          13.072667,
          13.290667
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "volume": 120862,
        "typical_volume": 263025.35,
        "trend": 13.934,
        "fair_value": 82.714635,
        "relative_strength": -52.932801,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
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        "energy": 15.521551,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.808667,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 13.68,
        "volume": 6565,
        "typical_volume": 251283.35,
        "trend": 13.525,
        "fair_value": 82.345596,
        "relative_strength": -50.538438,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 15.747496,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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        "volume": 13569,
        "typical_volume": 152171.65,
        "trend": 13.277667,
        "fair_value": 81.957327,
        "relative_strength": -49.885978,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
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        "typical_volume": 122347.85,
        "trend": 13.174667,
        "fair_value": 81.567263,
        "relative_strength": -49.743048,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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        "energy": 4.304658,
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          13.396667,
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          13.194946
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 12.89,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 99374.9,
        "trend": 13.159,
        "fair_value": 81.16784,
        "relative_strength": -47.781714,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -7.237821,
        "energy": 12.006385,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.139333,
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          13.118,
          13.176581
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 13.07,
        "volume": 7313,
        "typical_volume": 87384.65,
        "trend": 13.198333,
        "fair_value": 80.746494,
        "relative_strength": -45.108352,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -14.186654,
        "energy": 17.095301,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.056667,
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          13.130333,
          13.170839
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 12.37,
        "volume": 56663,
        "typical_volume": 79423.85,
        "trend": 13.221333,
        "fair_value": 80.331558,
        "relative_strength": -45.500844,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -53.40839,
        "energy": 35.912627,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.792,
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          13.080286,
          13.117398
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 13.33,
        "volume": 137971,
        "typical_volume": 78019.0,
        "trend": 13.259333,
        "fair_value": 79.837199,
        "relative_strength": -38.649211,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -29.651082,
        "energy": 20.393985,
        "activity_lines": [
          12.934667,
          13.121455,
          13.125667,
          13.124409
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 14.65,
        "volume": 580069,
        "typical_volume": 99321.45,
        "trend": 13.284,
        "fair_value": 79.303866,
        "relative_strength": -27.738003,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 34.613192,
        "energy": 19.61096,
        "activity_lines": [
          13.514,
          13.367455,
          13.295,
          13.214129
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 18.17,
        "volume": 547984,
        "typical_volume": 118731.15,
        "trend": 13.459667,
        "fair_value": 78.794699,
        "relative_strength": -9.119144,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.30498,
        "energy": 80.076049,
        "activity_lines": [
          15.15,
          14.223455,
          13.786476,
          13.529355
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 19.360001,
        "volume": 734190,
        "typical_volume": 148814.2,
        "trend": 13.671,
        "fair_value": 78.266879,
        "relative_strength": -0.027402,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 91.026948,
        "energy": 93.133343,
        "activity_lines": [
          16.830667,
          15.231091,
          14.359952,
          13.910022
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}