{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73c94d34-bd57-4593-97e5-3a4ce5f3b29f", "symbol": "TAOX", "name": "TAO Synergies Inc.", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -59.413, "architecture_energy": 50.638, "architecture_maturity": 35.879, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 12.7, "rotation_up": 19.88, "upward_expansion": 9.0, "deceleration": 44.41, "rotation_down": 56.11, "downward_expansion": 82.34 }, "activity_lines": [ 3.372667, 3.477636, 3.923143, 4.185441 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 3.37, "trend_reference": 4.405333, "distance_from_trend": -0.235018, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 5.018347, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.328464, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -45.203794, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.14899, "excess_performance": -0.336444, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.235018, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.154663, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.328464, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.334976, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.452038, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.394037, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.14899, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.345895, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 343879, "relative_activity": 0.493983, "balance": 0.345895, "dry_up": 0.616925, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.220285, "annualized_volatility": 0.885617, "from_high_reference": -0.663, "from_low_reference": 0.059748 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 4.405333, "fair_value_reference": 5.018347, "structural_low": 3.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 36, "median_return": -0.033623, "positive_rate": 0.416667, "directional_follow_through": 0.583333, "median_excess_return": -0.064117, "regime_survival": 0.861111, "best_return": 2.526971, "worst_return": -0.452174, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 12, "median_return": -0.139764, "positive_rate": 0.333333, "directional_follow_through": 0.666667, "median_excess_return": -0.209204, "regime_survival": 0.666667, "best_return": 2.942982, "worst_return": -0.653846, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": -0.288752, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.75, "median_excess_return": -0.520094, "regime_survival": 0.875, "best_return": 0.622642, "worst_return": -0.764706, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": 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784228.1, "trend": 4.499667, "fair_value": 5.182402, "relative_strength": -44.985099, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.713883, "energy": 48.277591, "activity_lines": [ 3.504, 3.611818, 4.150048, 4.333914 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 3.29, "volume": 461132, "typical_volume": 757120.1, "trend": 4.461667, "fair_value": 5.093876, "relative_strength": -44.544818, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -62.336558, "energy": 49.339096, "activity_lines": [ 3.415333, 3.526182, 4.02719, 4.255871 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 3.37, "volume": 343879, "typical_volume": 696134.8, "trend": 4.405333, "fair_value": 5.018347, "relative_strength": -45.203794, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.413467, "energy": 50.638103, "activity_lines": [ 3.372667, 3.477636, 3.923143, 4.185441 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }