{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73caa23d-546f-4170-a580-eeb576c15149", "symbol": "ESGL", "name": "Amundi MSCI Europe ESG Selection UCITS ETF Acc", "exchange": "EBS", "country": "CH", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^SSMI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2b", "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 87.135, "architecture_energy": 74.724, "architecture_maturity": 55.616, "architecture_confidence": 89.376, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 10.0, "rotation_up": 59.05, "upward_expansion": 83.36, "deceleration": 58.94, "rotation_down": 28.67, "downward_expansion": 12.36 }, "activity_lines": [ 39.539334, 39.334455, 38.451096, 37.667721 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Stable", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": 0.5 }, "latest_close": 40.110001, "trend_reference": 36.838833, "distance_from_trend": 0.088797, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 32.65837, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.228169, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": 1.717312, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": 0.1297, "excess_performance": 0.046817, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.088797, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.044491, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.228169, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.09139, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": true, "value": 0.017173, "read": "Leading" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.007762, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.1297, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 8.964893, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 6643, "relative_activity": 0.915821, "balance": 8.964893, "dry_up": 1.150773, "accumulation_observations": 2, "distribution_observations": 0 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.012792, "annualized_volatility": 0.130618, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.244879 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.838833, "fair_value_reference": 32.65837, "structural_low": 33.305, "invalidation": "A 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32.100389, "relative_strength": 3.322692, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 85.375739, "energy": 91.531396, "activity_lines": [ 37.689334, 37.129182, 36.3365, 36.033366 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-19", "close": 38.805, "volume": 2880, "typical_volume": 9271.0, "trend": 35.746333, "fair_value": 32.167729, "relative_strength": 4.110486, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.501673, "energy": 94.514301, "activity_lines": [ 38.167334, 37.496546, 36.608881, 36.242441 ] }, { "date": "2026-06-26", "close": 39.134998, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9271.0, "trend": 35.910333, "fair_value": 32.233626, "relative_strength": 2.002507, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 86.210629, "energy": 94.401114, "activity_lines": [ 38.581666, 37.873273, 36.8965, 36.461065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-03", "close": 39.68, "volume": 0, "typical_volume": 9271.0, "trend": 36.085667, "fair_value": 32.309043, "relative_strength": 1.578525, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 89.273632, "energy": 95.85882, "activity_lines": [ 39.048666, 38.305727, 37.218738, 36.704269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-10", "close": 39.150002, "volume": 6885, "typical_volume": 8768.7, "trend": 36.248833, "fair_value": 32.377344, "relative_strength": 1.52775, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 68.471113, "energy": 88.56658, "activity_lines": [ 39.185667, 38.576546, 37.472048, 36.901968 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 39.029999, "volume": 407, "typical_volume": 8658.1, "trend": 36.397167, "fair_value": 32.444235, "relative_strength": 0.429242, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 67.056756, "energy": 87.585693, "activity_lines": [ 39.191, 38.767364, 37.701143, 37.081398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 39.169998, "volume": 1359, "typical_volume": 6986.1, "trend": 36.549167, "fair_value": 32.510613, "relative_strength": 0.897076, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 65.545316, "energy": 84.901567, "activity_lines": [ 39.194333, 38.931818, 37.932167, 37.26029 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 39.455002, "volume": 24980, "typical_volume": 8014.45, "trend": 36.700667, "fair_value": 32.582857, "relative_strength": 1.464699, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.200997, "energy": 68.430684, "activity_lines": [ 39.268334, 39.094091, 38.173095, 37.447764 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 40.110001, "volume": 6643, "typical_volume": 7253.6, "trend": 36.838833, "fair_value": 32.65837, "relative_strength": 1.717312, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Established expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 87.134557, "energy": 74.724102, "activity_lines": [ 39.539334, 39.334455, 38.451096, 37.667721 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }