{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73dab463-71a3-4b4d-b6ec-9b4fcf8267d5",
    "symbol": "M1TT34",
    "name": "Marriott International, Inc.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2B \u00b7 Advancing",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 60.484,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": -21.42,
    "architecture_energy": 37.998,
    "architecture_maturity": 56.814,
    "architecture_confidence": 84.28,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 42.91,
        "rotation_up": 14.0,
        "upward_expansion": 44.3,
        "deceleration": 87.54,
        "rotation_down": 55.81,
        "downward_expansion": 38.3
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        457.463334,
        470.81309,
        471.686365,
        464.114082
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 444.149994,
    "trend_reference": 454.170537,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.022063,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 359.355196,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.235964,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 1.585121,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.031593,
    "excess_performance": 0.088641,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.022063,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.055677,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.235964,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046958,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015851,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.082565,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.031593,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.52,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7,
      "relative_activity": 0.468227,
      "balance": 0.52,
      "dry_up": 1.38796,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 3
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.030121,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.249025,
      "from_high_reference": -0.135171,
      "from_low_reference": 0.303249
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 454.170537,
      "fair_value_reference": 359.355196,
      "structural_low": 413.557922,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 13,
        "median_return": 0.039078,
        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": 0.018519,
        "regime_survival": 0.384615,
        "best_return": 0.1221,
        "worst_return": -0.148267,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 7,
        "median_return": 0.072774,
        "positive_rate": 0.571429,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.571429,
        "median_excess_return": -0.053973,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.33971,
        "worst_return": -0.202775,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": 0.197328,
        "positive_rate": 0.6,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.6,
        "median_excess_return": 0.108176,
        "regime_survival": 0.2,
        "best_return": 0.311585,
        "worst_return": -0.084803,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.189402,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.119559,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.570398,
        "worst_return": -0.131306,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "end": "2025-01-17",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-24",
        "end": "2025-03-07",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.089481,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
        "start": "2025-03-14",
        "end": "2025-04-11",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.053038,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-04-18",
        "end": "2025-05-30",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.176379,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-07-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.025504,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-08-01",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.082747,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.017971,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "end": "2025-10-24",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "end": "2025-10-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "active": true
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "trend": 419.460804,
        "fair_value": 338.04908,
        "relative_strength": -6.671396,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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        "direction": 55.528415,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "trend": 422.543311,
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        "stage": 2,
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        "energy": 32.510291,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "typical_volume": 42.15,
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        "relative_strength": 8.572246,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "typical_volume": 32.55,
        "trend": 434.060758,
        "fair_value": 344.671734,
        "relative_strength": 17.69818,
        "stage": 2,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-19",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "typical_volume": 22.3,
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        "relative_strength": 10.940211,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 21.5,
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        "fair_value": 352.053621,
        "relative_strength": 10.190675,
        "stage": 2,
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        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 481.0,
        "volume": 3,
        "typical_volume": 20.6,
        "trend": 450.680321,
        "fair_value": 353.709991,
        "relative_strength": 6.315653,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 61.587108,
        "energy": 54.689223,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 468.0,
        "volume": 19,
        "typical_volume": 17.55,
        "trend": 451.990228,
        "fair_value": 355.247915,
        "relative_strength": 6.027149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.647508,
        "energy": 30.239276,
        "activity_lines": [
          481.51133,
          486.955179,
          473.571564,
          463.697317
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 460.600006,
        "volume": 57,
        "typical_volume": 19.0,
        "trend": 452.849025,
        "fair_value": 356.713842,
        "relative_strength": 4.337976,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 25.620033,
        "energy": 29.478005,
        "activity_lines": [
          472.337333,
          482.720725,
          473.650307,
          464.252786
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 460.600006,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 16.95,
        "trend": 454.050888,
        "fair_value": 358.110736,
        "relative_strength": 2.076717,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 13.382678,
        "energy": 30.048473,
        "activity_lines": [
          466.69467,
          478.204727,
          473.556684,
          464.75285
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 444.149994,
        "volume": 7,
        "typical_volume": 14.95,
        "trend": 454.170537,
        "fair_value": 359.355196,
        "relative_strength": 1.585121,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -21.420151,
        "energy": 37.997943,
        "activity_lines": [
          457.463334,
          470.81309,
          471.686365,
          464.114082
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}