{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73e702fa-8abc-400f-95b0-1768816dc685",
    "symbol": "USIM5",
    "name": "Usinas Sider\u00fargicas de Minas Gerais S.A.",
    "exchange": "SAO",
    "country": "BR",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^BVSP",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 86.228,
    "architecture_regime": "deceleration",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration",
    "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -33.265,
    "architecture_energy": 36.492,
    "architecture_maturity": 45.541,
    "architecture_confidence": 41.781,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.",
        "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 39.02,
        "rotation_up": 14.26,
        "upward_expansion": 21.86,
        "deceleration": 64.24,
        "rotation_down": 64.46,
        "downward_expansion": 37.86
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        7.702667,
        8.206182,
        8.714143,
        8.380344
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 7.15,
    "trend_reference": 7.851333,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.089327,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.71263,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.065156,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": 4.624845,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.147673,
    "excess_performance": 0.204721,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.089327,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.150379,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.065156,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.309189,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.046248,
        "read": "Leading"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.35052,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.147673,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.431571,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 53185700,
      "relative_activity": 0.986248,
      "balance": 1.431571,
      "dry_up": 0.981338,
      "accumulation_observations": 3,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.144056,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.521846,
      "from_high_reference": -0.386266,
      "from_low_reference": 0.82398
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 7.851333,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.71263,
      "structural_low": 5.94,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.125918,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.084095,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.190311,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.260244,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.266879,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.180139,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "positive_rate": 0.0,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.396376,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
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        "worst_return": -0.364251,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 1,
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        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-06-21",
        "end": "2025-02-21",
        "tenure": "Extended",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.054291,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      {
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 53728000.0,
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        "fair_value": 6.706617,
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        "energy": 23.981068,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 7.36,
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        "typical_volume": 54041175.0,
        "trend": 7.831333,
        "fair_value": 6.709863,
        "relative_strength": 4.832678,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -12.048279,
        "energy": 24.894991,
        "activity_lines": [
          8.072,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 7.15,
        "volume": 53185700,
        "typical_volume": 53927300.0,
        "trend": 7.851333,
        "fair_value": 6.71263,
        "relative_strength": 4.624845,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -33.264556,
        "energy": 36.491523,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}