{ "ticker": { "uuid": "73f78456-49dd-4b2e-abd9-84152ff07292", "symbol": "SUJP", "name": "iShares MSCI Japan SRI UCITS ETF", "exchange": "MIL", "country": "IT", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI", "stage": 2, "stage_name": "Advancing", "phase": "2a", "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance", "transition": "stage_2_healthy", "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early expansion", "architecture_gate": "up", "architecture_direction": 94.626, "architecture_energy": 92.995, "architecture_maturity": 25.917, "architecture_confidence": 69.517, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing." }, "scores": { "balance": 0.0, "rotation_up": 85.29, "upward_expansion": 98.45, "deceleration": 39.96, "rotation_down": 11.81, "downward_expansion": 20.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 7.946, 7.816655, 7.595952, 7.453224 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": 1.0 }, "latest_close": 8.232, "trend_reference": 7.324067, "distance_from_trend": 0.123966, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 6.695603, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.229464, "fair_value_direction": "Improving", "relative_strength": -1.794462, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": 0.142064, "excess_performance": -0.028827, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": true, "value": 0.123966, "read": "Above" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.026005, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.229464, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.140464, "read": "Closing upward" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.017945, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.078463, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": true, "value": 0.142064, "read": "Positive" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 7.038518, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 234347, "relative_activity": 1.797797, "balance": 7.038518, "dry_up": 1.148976, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.022483, "annualized_volatility": 0.175911, "from_high_reference": 0.0, "from_low_reference": 0.238453 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 7.324067, "fair_value_reference": 6.695603, "structural_low": 6.647, "invalidation": "A sustained 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87.421555, "energy": 92.044846, "activity_lines": [ 7.6754, 7.552727, 7.355548, 7.289183 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 7.754, "volume": 158283, "typical_volume": 127073.95, "trend": 7.2523, "fair_value": 6.656462, "relative_strength": -4.721604, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 73.140042, "energy": 88.21174, "activity_lines": [ 7.722933, 7.607164, 7.405933, 7.322916 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 7.766, "volume": 55393, "typical_volume": 124489.05, "trend": 7.273733, "fair_value": 6.667333, "relative_strength": -4.256885, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 70.736084, "energy": 87.934274, "activity_lines": [ 7.754533, 7.652745, 7.455771, 7.356058 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 7.846, "volume": 151064, "typical_volume": 120604.5, "trend": 7.2982, "fair_value": 6.680237, "relative_strength": -3.76872, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 75.01937, "energy": 86.515376, "activity_lines": [ 7.798467, 7.704364, 7.509686, 7.392978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 8.232, "volume": 234347, "typical_volume": 130352.35, "trend": 7.324067, "fair_value": 6.695603, "relative_strength": -1.794462, "stage": 2, "regime": "upward_expansion", "modifier": "Early expansion", "gate": "up", "direction": 94.626427, "energy": 92.995472, "activity_lines": [ 7.946, 7.816655, 7.595952, 7.453224 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }