{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "73f81163-b6ef-4acb-a84d-7ece97ac37cc",
    "symbol": "1504",
    "name": "TECO Electric & Machinery Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "TAI",
    "country": "TW",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-14",
    "benchmark": "^TWII",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Balance after decline",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -24.833,
    "architecture_energy": 13.002,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.001,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.346,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 54.25,
        "rotation_up": 17.07,
        "upward_expansion": 13.31,
        "deceleration": 55.85,
        "rotation_down": 45.04,
        "downward_expansion": 63.31
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        67.373333,
        67.50586,
        67.981324,
        67.839953
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 70.599998,
    "trend_reference": 69.627373,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013969,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 56.853353,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.241791,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -36.587846,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.092214,
    "excess_performance": -0.533586,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013969,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.087108,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.241791,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.015599,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.365878,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.000321,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.092214,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.747154,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 54576237,
      "relative_activity": 0.608035,
      "balance": 2.747154,
      "dry_up": 0.460465,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.098526,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.404718,
      "from_high_reference": -0.430408,
      "from_low_reference": 0.344869
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 69.627373,
      "fair_value_reference": 56.853353,
      "structural_low": 56.870474,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 25,
        "median_return": -0.017886,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.000935,
        "regime_survival": 0.6,
        "best_return": 0.184632,
        "worst_return": -0.073958,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 9,
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        "positive_rate": 0.888889,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.888889,
        "median_excess_return": 0.08368,
        "regime_survival": 0.444444,
        "best_return": 0.913043,
        "worst_return": -0.050314,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": 0.017909,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.155721,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
        "best_return": 0.991517,
        "worst_return": -0.032261,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": 0.814392,
        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.061171,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
        "label": "Rotation Down",
        "color": "orange",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2024-09-06",
        "end": "2024-10-18",
        "tenure": "Developing",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "return": 0.0,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "return": -0.020755,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "New",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Established",
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      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "typical_volume": 89020289.75,
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        "fair_value": 56.496712,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "energy": 20.634927,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
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        "volume": 50724295,
        "typical_volume": 89683362.2,
        "trend": 70.50833,
        "fair_value": 56.592786,
        "relative_strength": -38.909083,
        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 66.0,
        "volume": 25840735,
        "typical_volume": 88657087.3,
        "trend": 69.976603,
        "fair_value": 56.702296,
        "relative_strength": -38.935486,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -48.188733,
        "energy": 27.15867,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-14",
        "close": 70.599998,
        "volume": 54576237,
        "typical_volume": 89758440.65,
        "trend": 69.627373,
        "fair_value": 56.853353,
        "relative_strength": -36.587846,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -24.833395,
        "energy": 13.001518,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}