{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "740959db-b5af-4482-ab3a-ac5362ae832b",
    "symbol": "301129",
    "name": "Runa Smart Equipment Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHZ",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "399001.SZ",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction",
    "architecture_gate": "down",
    "architecture_direction": -63.729,
    "architecture_energy": 56.562,
    "architecture_maturity": 23.347,
    "architecture_confidence": 79.876,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 15.18,
        "rotation_up": 15.74,
        "upward_expansion": 8.99,
        "deceleration": 50.04,
        "rotation_down": 65.65,
        "downward_expansion": 82.32
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        19.935334,
        20.458364,
        22.541283,
        23.577743
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 20.92,
    "trend_reference": 24.713959,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.153515,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 23.940758,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.126176,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -21.189671,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": -0.193913,
    "excess_performance": -0.201312,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.153515,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.040346,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.126176,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.225866,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.211897,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.086782,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.193913,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.572402,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 7073309,
      "relative_activity": 0.731081,
      "balance": 1.572402,
      "dry_up": 0.805868,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.105697,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.423873,
      "from_high_reference": -0.395576,
      "from_low_reference": 0.20855
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 24.713959,
      "fair_value_reference": 23.940758,
      "structural_low": 17.309999,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 17,
        "median_return": 0.000258,
        "positive_rate": 0.529412,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.470588,
        "median_excess_return": -0.011906,
        "regime_survival": 0.823529,
        "best_return": 0.350956,
        "worst_return": -0.341772,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
        "median_return": -0.027459,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
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        "median_excess_return": -0.007196,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
        "best_return": 0.36338,
        "worst_return": -0.269038,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": -0.131084,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": -0.027599,
        "regime_survival": 0.5,
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        "worst_return": -0.265288,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
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        "worst_return": -0.27612,
        "sufficient": false
      }
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        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
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        "end": "2025-03-07",
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        "return": 0.020084,
        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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        "return": -0.210701,
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      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      {
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 13310600.1,
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        "stage": 4,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -84.331696,
        "energy": 90.447266,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 18.35,
        "volume": 8423302,
        "typical_volume": 11675475.5,
        "trend": 24.920696,
        "fair_value": 24.141698,
        "relative_strength": -29.360537,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
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        "direction": -80.71788,
        "energy": 90.851782,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 20.360001,
        "volume": 8150302,
        "typical_volume": 10217831.2,
        "trend": 24.805019,
        "fair_value": 24.030135,
        "relative_strength": -19.874179,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -66.578623,
        "energy": 78.504367,
        "activity_lines": [
          19.570667,
          20.617636,
          22.834919,
          23.82839
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 20.92,
        "volume": 7073309,
        "typical_volume": 9675137.0,
        "trend": 24.713959,
        "fair_value": 23.940758,
        "relative_strength": -21.189671,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -63.729096,
        "energy": 56.562288,
        "activity_lines": [
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          22.541283,
          23.577743
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}