{ "ticker": { "uuid": "740c46f0-eed6-4dc2-88b1-74494ee0da11", "symbol": "PDYN", "name": "Palladyne AI Corp", "exchange": "NASDAQ", "country": "US", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "QQQ", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -55.058, "architecture_energy": 42.355, "architecture_maturity": 11.54, "architecture_confidence": 88.429, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 31.92, "rotation_up": 14.63, "upward_expansion": 6.48, "deceleration": 44.66, "rotation_down": 58.32, "downward_expansion": 79.81 }, "activity_lines": [ 5.382, 5.554545, 5.992476, 6.195118 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 5.99, "trend_reference": 6.435667, "distance_from_trend": -0.069249, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 4.624779, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.295197, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -21.442387, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.163408, "excess_performance": -0.350861, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.069249, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.021102, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.295197, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.132608, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.214424, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.092484, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.163408, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.143904, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4855566, "relative_activity": 0.621674, "balance": 1.143904, "dry_up": 0.553484, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.204595, "annualized_volatility": 0.803386, "from_high_reference": -0.441643, "from_low_reference": 0.44686 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 6.435667, "fair_value_reference": 4.624779, "structural_low": 4.63, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 15, "median_return": -0.088719, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.130854, "regime_survival": 0.866667, "best_return": 2.141509, "worst_return": -0.408571, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.070372, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.6, "median_excess_return": -0.160985, "regime_survival": 0.6, "best_return": 2.622975, "worst_return": -0.537722, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 3, "median_return": 0.478947, "positive_rate": 0.666667, "directional_follow_through": 0.333333, "median_excess_return": 0.284982, "regime_survival": 0.333333, "best_return": 2.368018, "worst_return": -0.734381, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 1, 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"close": 4.88, "volume": 4911342, "typical_volume": 11618250.05, "trend": 6.415667, "fair_value": 4.552856, "relative_strength": -36.103904, "stage": 4, "regime": "balance", "modifier": "Upper balance after advance", "gate": "down", "direction": -68.049632, "energy": 63.046561, "activity_lines": [ 5.445333, 5.997273, 6.257571, 6.397269 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 4.94, "volume": 3621351, "typical_volume": 9175802.9, "trend": 6.430333, "fair_value": 4.573305, "relative_strength": -32.974239, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.476692, "energy": 66.426852, "activity_lines": [ 5.170667, 5.743091, 6.112571, 6.302065 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 5.23, "volume": 3903622, "typical_volume": 8746932.55, "trend": 6.447333, "fair_value": 4.595421, "relative_strength": -28.566511, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -59.912267, "energy": 62.559808, "activity_lines": [ 5.13, 5.569091, 6.012286, 6.224624 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 5.99, "volume": 4855566, "typical_volume": 7810470.25, "trend": 6.435667, "fair_value": 4.624779, "relative_strength": -21.442387, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -55.057703, "energy": 42.354662, "activity_lines": [ 5.382, 5.554545, 5.992476, 6.195118 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }