{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7410a5a5-54b8-4625-b34d-3b0ffd050ddb", "symbol": "688100", "name": "Willfar Information Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -63.018, "architecture_energy": 55.584, "architecture_maturity": 62.455, "architecture_confidence": 88.562, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 7.88, "rotation_up": 25.38, "upward_expansion": 9.55, "deceleration": 60.38, "rotation_down": 54.5, "downward_expansion": 82.88 }, "activity_lines": [ 29.356667, 29.586, 31.9149, 33.763558 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 30.15, "trend_reference": 36.158908, "distance_from_trend": -0.166181, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 33.963911, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.112293, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -15.968675, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.258367, "excess_performance": -0.215164, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.166181, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.054607, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.112293, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.241453, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.159687, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.106699, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.258367, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.392288, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 19577478, "relative_activity": 1.379952, "balance": 1.392288, "dry_up": 1.385303, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.08348, "annualized_volatility": 0.340885, "from_high_reference": -0.378103, "from_low_reference": 0.109272 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 36.158908, "fair_value_reference": 33.963911, "structural_low": 27.18, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 11, "median_return": 0.042171, "positive_rate": 0.818182, "directional_follow_through": 0.181818, "median_excess_return": 0.023595, "regime_survival": 0.545455, "best_return": 0.244269, "worst_return": -0.062037, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.097384, "positive_rate": 1.0, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.025912, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.412407, "worst_return": 0.012253, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.057752, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": 0.035731, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.475654, "worst_return": -0.159955, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"typical_volume": 14497879.15, "trend": 36.745114, "fair_value": 33.922842, "relative_strength": -19.033878, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.153301, "energy": 78.173788, "activity_lines": [ 28.712667, 29.989636, 32.729119, 34.608628 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 29.950001, "volume": 21373507, "typical_volume": 14263127.15, "trend": 36.453472, "fair_value": 33.939356, "relative_strength": -14.508879, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.355666, "energy": 63.464558, "activity_lines": [ 28.998667, 29.692364, 32.28504, 34.170234 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 30.15, "volume": 19577478, "typical_volume": 14187067.1, "trend": 36.158908, "fair_value": 33.963911, "relative_strength": -15.968675, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.01808, "energy": 55.58367, "activity_lines": [ 29.356667, 29.586, 31.9149, 33.763558 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }