{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "741af573-f5da-458b-96cb-c34a810b1bf6",
    "symbol": "600906",
    "name": "Caida Securities Co., Ltd.",
    "exchange": "SHH",
    "country": "CN",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "000001.SS",
    "stage": 1,
    "stage_name": "Basing",
    "phase": "1b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing",
    "transition": "stage_1_building",
    "transition_label": "Base still building",
    "confidence": 68.422,
    "architecture_regime": "balance",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Balance",
    "architecture_modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": -1.75,
    "architecture_energy": 15.643,
    "architecture_maturity": 25.63,
    "architecture_confidence": 65.089,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "Directional pressure has compressed into balance.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity are compressed into balance, so neither side has durable control. Prior structure and the next directional change provide context; balance alone is not assumed to be a base."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 65.87,
        "rotation_up": 15.43,
        "upward_expansion": 27.21,
        "deceleration": 75.51,
        "rotation_down": 51.85,
        "downward_expansion": 26.54
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        6.682605,
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        6.83825,
        6.770563
      ],
      "activity_state": "Compressed",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": -0.166667
    },
    "latest_close": 6.59,
    "trend_reference": 6.736265,
    "distance_from_trend": -0.021713,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 6.903005,
    "distance_from_fair_value": -0.045343,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -4.442578,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.03655,
    "excess_performance": 0.006654,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.021713,
        "read": "Below"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.003715,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.045343,
        "read": "Below anchor"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.02333,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.044426,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.099541,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.03655,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 1.131504,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 140564528,
      "relative_activity": 0.734268,
      "balance": 1.131504,
      "dry_up": 1.151566,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 5
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.084923,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.238687,
      "from_high_reference": -0.183072,
      "from_low_reference": 0.102007
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 6.736265,
      "fair_value_reference": 6.903005,
      "structural_low": 5.98,
      "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 10,
        "median_return": -0.015612,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007888,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
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        "worst_return": -0.112732,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.048255,
        "regime_survival": 0.166667,
        "best_return": 0.072755,
        "worst_return": -0.172414,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.052767,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.078121,
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        "worst_return": -0.214377,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.0,
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        "regime_survival": 0.333333,
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        "worst_return": -0.065781,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.010417,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "tenure": "Developing",
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      {
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "direction": 62.459755,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "relative_strength": 5.187821,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.731069,
        "energy": 42.20096,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
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        "trend": 6.754598,
        "fair_value": 6.909974,
        "relative_strength": 2.111133,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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        "direction": 41.361943,
        "energy": 24.874418,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 6.42,
        "volume": 255221370,
        "typical_volume": 189049318.75,
        "trend": 6.738931,
        "fair_value": 6.905822,
        "relative_strength": -4.596619,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 12.589586,
        "energy": 16.578299,
        "activity_lines": [
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 6.59,
        "volume": 140564528,
        "typical_volume": 191434971.85,
        "trend": 6.736265,
        "fair_value": 6.903005,
        "relative_strength": -4.442578,
        "stage": 1,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Upper balance after advance",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": -1.74956,
        "energy": 15.642511,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}