{ "ticker": { "uuid": "74291aaf-b92e-41b2-88be-6021aace70e3", "symbol": "7726", "name": "CARILEX", "exchange": "TWO", "country": "TW", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-14", "benchmark": "^TWII", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -45.453, "architecture_energy": 34.293, "architecture_maturity": 80.614, "architecture_confidence": 56.883, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 27.67, "rotation_up": 25.74, "upward_expansion": 15.84, "deceleration": 64.73, "rotation_down": 40.76, "downward_expansion": 65.84 }, "activity_lines": [ 32.110002, 32.090911, 32.568096, 33.397313 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 32.150002, "trend_reference": 34.818334, "distance_from_trend": -0.076636, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 41.503259, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.225362, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -38.763121, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.163849, "excess_performance": -0.605221, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.076636, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.060699, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.225362, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.022308, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.387631, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.017056, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.163849, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.916774, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 1150, "relative_activity": 0.198517, "balance": 1.916774, "dry_up": 0.595983, "accumulation_observations": 4, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.041512, "annualized_volatility": 0.188782, "from_high_reference": -0.234524, "from_low_reference": 0.047231 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 34.818334, "fair_value_reference": 41.503259, 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contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -66.598353, "energy": 53.275101, "activity_lines": [ 32.106668, 32.54091, 33.414762, 34.567527 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 31.950001, "volume": 12050, "typical_volume": 5836.1, "trend": 36.016667, "fair_value": 41.809056, "relative_strength": -38.63047, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.451417, "energy": 50.800832, "activity_lines": [ 32.020001, 32.382728, 33.181429, 34.287958 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 31.950001, "volume": 4270, "typical_volume": 6026.0, "trend": 35.690001, "fair_value": 41.729547, "relative_strength": -39.066971, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -63.625486, "energy": 50.487762, "activity_lines": [ 31.963334, 32.243637, 32.97881, 34.025592 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 32.150002, "volume": 7040, "typical_volume": 6376.0, "trend": 35.396667, "fair_value": 41.652911, "relative_strength": -36.940307, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -60.344406, "energy": 45.656328, "activity_lines": [ 32.003335, 32.176365, 32.816906, 33.797205 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 32.150002, "volume": 1350, "typical_volume": 5791.4, "trend": 35.101667, "fair_value": 41.577491, "relative_strength": -37.517318, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -57.762359, "energy": 42.108185, "activity_lines": [ 32.063335, 32.118183, 32.684525, 33.587743 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-14", "close": 32.150002, "volume": 1150, "typical_volume": 5792.95, "trend": 34.818334, "fair_value": 41.503259, "relative_strength": -38.763121, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -45.453026, "energy": 34.293416, "activity_lines": [ 32.110002, 32.090911, 32.568096, 33.397313 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }