{ "ticker": { "uuid": "742fec3a-3cf3-4cff-8214-4b135313d130", "symbol": "688113", "name": "Jiangsu Liance Electromechanical Technology Co., Ltd.", "exchange": "SHH", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "000001.SS", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4a", "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Early contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -61.494, "architecture_energy": 61.193, "architecture_maturity": 20.327, "architecture_confidence": 79.935, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 19.98, "rotation_up": 12.16, "upward_expansion": 12.06, "deceleration": 40.91, "rotation_down": 67.42, "downward_expansion": 85.4 }, "activity_lines": [ 33.924, 34.89499, 37.231311, 38.380849 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.666667 }, "latest_close": 35.810001, "trend_reference": 39.970365, "distance_from_trend": -0.104086, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 35.630552, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.005036, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -9.411876, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.20245, "excess_performance": -0.159246, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.104086, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.027967, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.005036, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.220876, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.094119, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.136141, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.20245, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.663526, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 4084300, "relative_activity": 0.894753, "balance": 1.663526, "dry_up": 1.065427, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 3 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.105414, "annualized_volatility": 0.486305, "from_high_reference": -0.280924, "from_low_reference": 0.24254 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 39.970365, "fair_value_reference": 35.630552, "structural_low": 28.82, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 14, "median_return": -0.045966, "positive_rate": 0.357143, "directional_follow_through": 0.642857, "median_excess_return": -0.026528, "regime_survival": 0.785714, "best_return": 0.329331, "worst_return": -0.150454, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": 0.102523, "positive_rate": 0.6, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": 0.079381, "regime_survival": 0.4, "best_return": 0.205589, "worst_return": -0.263295, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.048038, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.036508, "regime_survival": 0.5, "best_return": 0.339821, "worst_return": -0.322351, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", 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"trend": 40.290365, "fair_value": 35.754663, "relative_strength": -16.164251, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -72.811807, "energy": 67.258988, "activity_lines": [ 33.936666, 35.740274, 38.023892, 39.108251 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 33.299999, "volume": 3493157, "typical_volume": 4522205.15, "trend": 40.094365, "fair_value": 35.682547, "relative_strength": -13.647177, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.345317, "energy": 71.635986, "activity_lines": [ 33.451999, 34.971496, 37.488078, 38.65726 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 35.810001, "volume": 4084300, "typical_volume": 4564723.5, "trend": 39.970365, "fair_value": 35.630552, "relative_strength": -9.411876, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -61.493863, "energy": 61.192872, "activity_lines": [ 33.924, 34.89499, 37.231311, 38.380849 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }