{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7430e48b-c512-4ea6-bbc6-60170a1b70e5",
    "symbol": "EUNO",
    "name": "WisdomTree Long NOK Short EUR",
    "exchange": "MIL",
    "country": "IT",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "FTSEMIB.MI",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3A \u00b7 Churning",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 96.0,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Re-accelerating",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 47.042,
    "architecture_energy": 44.781,
    "architecture_maturity": 17.645,
    "architecture_confidence": 44.712,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 25.42,
        "rotation_up": 71.62,
        "upward_expansion": 72.15,
        "deceleration": 60.48,
        "rotation_down": 9.24,
        "downward_expansion": 13.15
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        39.871667,
        39.559182,
        39.639453,
        39.478409
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      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.5
    },
    "latest_close": 39.875,
    "trend_reference": 39.111,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.019534,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 36.431474,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.094521,
    "fair_value_direction": "Weakening",
    "relative_strength": -10.140257,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening",
    "price_momentum": 0.05364,
    "excess_performance": -0.117252,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019534,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.026073,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.094521,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.017644,
        "read": "Moving away"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.101403,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.047105,
        "read": "Weakening"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.05364,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 2.735807,
        "read": "Demand-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 229,
      "relative_activity": 0.315753,
      "balance": 2.735807,
      "dry_up": 1.846949,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.011179,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.063529,
      "from_high_reference": -0.022672,
      "from_low_reference": 0.117886
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 39.111,
      "fair_value_reference": 36.431474,
      "structural_low": 37.68,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 19,
        "median_return": -0.000545,
        "positive_rate": 0.473684,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.473684,
        "median_excess_return": -0.0224,
        "regime_survival": 0.631579,
        "best_return": 0.030276,
        "worst_return": -0.068496,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 8,
        "median_return": -0.012161,
        "positive_rate": 0.25,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.25,
        "median_excess_return": -0.050563,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.058792,
        "worst_return": -0.079369,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 5,
        "median_return": -0.005816,
        "positive_rate": 0.4,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.4,
        "median_excess_return": -0.023546,
        "regime_survival": 0.4,
        "best_return": 0.057485,
        "worst_return": -0.03181,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
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        "best_return": 0.063971,
        "worst_return": -0.043548,
        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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        "regime": "upward_expansion",
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        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
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        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 82.209192,
        "energy": 77.022747,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.507,
          39.233909,
          38.721785,
          38.21701
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
        "close": 40.07,
        "volume": 1166,
        "typical_volume": 1030.7,
        "trend": 37.753166,
        "fair_value": 36.028846,
        "relative_strength": -5.429743,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 83.817916,
        "energy": 91.246582,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.766333,
          39.422909,
          38.908452,
          38.373236
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-15",
        "close": 40.365002,
        "volume": 445,
        "typical_volume": 1052.95,
        "trend": 37.879166,
        "fair_value": 36.069038,
        "relative_strength": -4.239631,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.568564,
        "energy": 95.096933,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.029,
          39.635637,
          39.103548,
          38.541742
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-22",
        "close": 40.459999,
        "volume": 532,
        "typical_volume": 1074.55,
        "trend": 38.005,
        "fair_value": 36.111603,
        "relative_strength": -4.529866,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 81.67447,
        "energy": 91.594107,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.229,
          39.832818,
          39.286619,
          38.708247
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-29",
        "close": 40.365002,
        "volume": 230,
        "typical_volume": 1059.75,
        "trend": 38.117166,
        "fair_value": 36.153942,
        "relative_strength": -5.512644,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 72.040459,
        "energy": 74.532604,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.314334,
          39.983273,
          39.441929,
          38.860505
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
        "close": 40.325001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 1017.55,
        "trend": 38.228,
        "fair_value": 36.189744,
        "relative_strength": -5.123608,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 67.914079,
        "energy": 67.417644,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.351001,
          40.105364,
          39.57581,
          39.002946
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
        "close": 39.665001,
        "volume": 211,
        "typical_volume": 912.95,
        "trend": 38.326333,
        "fair_value": 36.21891,
        "relative_strength": -9.249102,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 64.275841,
        "energy": 61.593748,
        "activity_lines": [
          40.133668,
          40.080001,
          39.630381,
          39.095656
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-19",
        "close": 39.095001,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 892.25,
        "trend": 38.41,
        "fair_value": 36.251699,
        "relative_strength": -12.434162,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 42.124902,
        "energy": 36.218872,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.753334,
          39.932455,
          39.619739,
          39.145248
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
        "close": 38.560001,
        "volume": 155,
        "typical_volume": 768.6,
        "trend": 38.475833,
        "fair_value": 36.278494,
        "relative_strength": -10.622788,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 1.098033,
        "energy": 25.537753,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.279334,
          39.685001,
          39.552405,
          39.154925
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
        "close": 38.66,
        "volume": 0,
        "typical_volume": 735.55,
        "trend": 38.545,
        "fair_value": 36.306378,
        "relative_strength": -12.679455,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -15.990519,
        "energy": 38.950156,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.965334,
          39.467637,
          39.491191,
          39.166807
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
        "close": 39.095001,
        "volume": 1426,
        "typical_volume": 796.85,
        "trend": 38.628667,
        "fair_value": 36.326474,
        "relative_strength": -11.035343,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -4.52623,
        "energy": 35.592178,
        "activity_lines": [
          38.910001,
          39.350728,
          39.470262,
          39.202291
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 39.490002,
        "volume": 350,
        "typical_volume": 814.35,
        "trend": 38.747,
        "fair_value": 36.349712,
        "relative_strength": -8.608044,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": -0.001495,
        "energy": 26.952638,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.068334,
          39.318728,
          39.483763,
          39.257861
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 40.095001,
        "volume": 3367,
        "typical_volume": 907.7,
        "trend": 38.8855,
        "fair_value": 36.376923,
        "relative_strength": -6.840748,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 48.81464,
        "energy": 22.70907,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.440001,
          39.407274,
          39.54981,
          39.344828
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 40.084999,
        "volume": 1412,
        "typical_volume": 904.95,
        "trend": 39.004,
        "fair_value": 36.402115,
        "relative_strength": -7.240235,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "modifier": "Recompressing",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 57.619495,
        "energy": 43.559574,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.741667,
          39.49891,
          39.607596,
          39.422215
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 39.875,
        "volume": 229,
        "typical_volume": 725.25,
        "trend": 39.111,
        "fair_value": 36.431474,
        "relative_strength": -10.140257,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Re-accelerating",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 47.042422,
        "energy": 44.781471,
        "activity_lines": [
          39.871667,
          39.559182,
          39.639453,
          39.478409
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}