{ "ticker": { "uuid": "7440fb70-46cd-49a2-b575-ebe742591f27", "symbol": "KSM-F111", "name": "KSM Mutual Funds Ltd. - KSM ETF (6D) Leveraged S&P 500 x3 Monthly", "exchange": "TLV", "country": "IL", "assetType": "etf" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "TA35.TA", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -53.895, "architecture_energy": 62.954, "architecture_maturity": 95.0, "architecture_confidence": 57.431, "architecture_tenure": "Developing", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 21.8, "rotation_up": 27.87, "upward_expansion": 22.5, "deceleration": 66.91, "rotation_down": 47.01, "downward_expansion": 67.83 }, "activity_lines": [ 775.473333, 761.956364, 18707.374286, 30161.71957 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -0.166667 }, "latest_close": 816.6, "trend_reference": 43549.436667, "distance_from_trend": -0.981249, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 48410.596795, "distance_from_fair_value": -0.983132, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -98.634332, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.9873, "excess_performance": -1.0162, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.981249, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.33797, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": false, "value": -0.983132, "read": "Below anchor" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -1.420791, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.986343, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.853942, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.9873, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.520708, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 14509, "relative_activity": 1.011637, "balance": 1.520708, "dry_up": 1.056331, "accumulation_observations": 3, "distribution_observations": 2 }, "risk": { "range_context": 7.813778, "annualized_volatility": 6.375255, "from_high_reference": -0.98915, "from_low_reference": 0.160768 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 43549.436667, "fair_value_reference": 48410.596795, 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10708, "typical_volume": 17099.6, "trend": 48010.97, "fair_value": 48810.763462, "relative_strength": -98.841922, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Early contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -65.912896, "energy": 67.83337, "activity_lines": [ 752.12, 4695.149091, 25714.305714, 36112.871398 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 757.4, "volume": 18808, "typical_volume": 15308.45, "trend": 45805.883333, "fair_value": 48612.477564, "relative_strength": -98.761241, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -64.376475, "energy": 66.929117, "activity_lines": [ 755.686667, 2081.056364, 22066.871905, 33064.253978 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 816.6, "volume": 14509, "typical_volume": 14342.1, "trend": 43549.436667, "fair_value": 48410.596795, "relative_strength": -98.634332, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -53.89545, "energy": 62.954105, "activity_lines": [ 775.473333, 761.956364, 18707.374286, 30161.71957 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }