{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "74472946-93ea-4986-b3de-5da3213b60cb",
    "symbol": "SKIS-B",
    "name": "SkiStar AB (publ)",
    "exchange": "STO",
    "country": "SE",
    "assetType": "equity"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^OMX",
    "stage": 4,
    "stage_name": "Declining",
    "phase": "4a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 4A \u00b7 Breakdown",
    "transition": "stage_4_declining",
    "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact",
    "confidence": 53.841,
    "architecture_regime": "rotation_up",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Rotation Up",
    "architecture_modifier": "Structural repair",
    "architecture_gate": "mixed",
    "architecture_direction": 21.283,
    "architecture_energy": 23.91,
    "architecture_maturity": 3.047,
    "architecture_confidence": 58.89,
    "architecture_tenure": "New",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The Activity Line structure is rotating upward.",
        "body": "Fast Activity is improving relative to Slow Activity and price acceptance is strengthening. This is earlier than full positive Trend confirmation and remains a developing repair."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 41.58,
        "rotation_up": 56.35,
        "upward_expansion": 43.32,
        "deceleration": 29.1,
        "rotation_down": 17.18,
        "downward_expansion": 15.98
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        163.786666,
        162.345454,
        159.430952,
        160.461075
      ],
      "activity_state": "Moderate",
      "activity_direction": "Stable",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.666667
    },
    "latest_close": 164.699997,
    "trend_reference": 162.573334,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.013081,
    "trend_direction": "Weakening",
    "fair_value": 149.605271,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.100897,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -9.310121,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": -0.046323,
    "excess_performance": -0.107817,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.013081,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.011782,
        "read": "Falling"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.100897,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.016757,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.093101,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.019022,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.046323,
        "read": "Negative"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.936987,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 111614,
      "relative_activity": 0.537479,
      "balance": 0.936987,
      "dry_up": 0.607807,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.039933,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.184796,
      "from_high_reference": -0.066856,
      "from_low_reference": 0.142956
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 162.573334,
      "fair_value_reference": 149.605271,
      "structural_low": 144.100006,
      "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 4,
        "median_return": 0.028126,
        "positive_rate": 0.75,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.75,
        "median_excess_return": 0.041676,
        "regime_survival": 0.25,
        "best_return": 0.134291,
        "worst_return": -0.087521,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": 0.071315,
        "positive_rate": 0.666667,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.666667,
        "median_excess_return": -0.106916,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.230574,
        "worst_return": -0.195389,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 3,
        "median_return": -0.059589,
        "positive_rate": 0.333333,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.333333,
        "median_excess_return": -0.225103,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.251689,
        "worst_return": -0.430259,
        "sufficient": false
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 2,
        "median_return": 0.114262,
        "positive_rate": 0.5,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.5,
        "median_excess_return": 0.066263,
        "regime_survival": 0.0,
        "best_return": 0.455237,
        "worst_return": -0.226713,
        "sufficient": false
      }
    ],
    "ledger": [
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2024-09-27",
        "end": "2025-01-03",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.027043,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2025-01-10",
        "end": "2025-02-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.108176,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2025-02-21",
        "end": "2025-03-14",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": -0.063793,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-03-21",
        "end": "2025-06-20",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": -0.069767,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2025-06-27",
        "end": "2025-09-19",
        "tenure": "Established",
        "return": 0.027079,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2025-09-26",
        "end": "2025-11-14",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.044529,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
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        "end": "2025-12-05",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.061893,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
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        "end": "2026-01-09",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.034018,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-01-16",
        "end": "2026-02-06",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.04921,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "label": "Upward Expansion",
        "color": "green",
        "start": "2026-02-13",
        "end": "2026-03-20",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.078567,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
        "label": "Deceleration",
        "color": "amber",
        "start": "2026-03-27",
        "end": "2026-05-08",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": -0.004411,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "label": "Downward Expansion",
        "color": "red",
        "start": "2026-05-15",
        "end": "2026-07-17",
        "tenure": "Developing",
        "return": 0.068738,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "balance",
        "label": "Balance",
        "color": "blue",
        "start": "2026-07-24",
        "end": "2026-07-31",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.03995,
        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "label": "Rotation Up",
        "color": "teal",
        "start": "2026-08-07",
        "end": "2026-08-07",
        "tenure": "New",
        "return": 0.0,
        "active": true
      }
    ],
    "chart_path": [
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        "date": "2023-08-18",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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        "typical_volume": 321192.8,
        "trend": 164.735352,
        "fair_value": 145.348555,
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      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-08",
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        "typical_volume": 306966.25,
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-22",
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      },
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-05",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-06-26",
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        "relative_strength": -7.942699,
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        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "typical_volume": 264811.25,
        "trend": 163.146667,
        "fair_value": 147.769882,
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        "modifier": "Early contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.195542,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "typical_volume": 265012.2,
        "trend": 162.893333,
        "fair_value": 148.146788,
        "relative_strength": -7.559692,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -11.697599,
        "energy": 27.000331,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 161.699997,
        "volume": 130205,
        "typical_volume": 259658.9,
        "trend": 162.693333,
        "fair_value": 148.510547,
        "relative_strength": -7.088521,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "downward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established contraction",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.479173,
        "energy": 23.96514,
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          162.493331,
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          160.218065
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 160.199997,
        "volume": 101041,
        "typical_volume": 251354.3,
        "trend": 162.466667,
        "fair_value": 148.849538,
        "relative_strength": -9.190814,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "down",
        "direction": -3.189546,
        "energy": 19.90123,
        "activity_lines": [
          161.899997,
          159.376362,
          158.122381,
          160.057204
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 166.600006,
        "volume": 162014,
        "typical_volume": 240841.1,
        "trend": 162.573334,
        "fair_value": 149.236222,
        "relative_strength": -6.688575,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 28.952923,
        "energy": 28.189776,
        "activity_lines": [
          163.313333,
          161.163636,
          158.858572,
          160.323871
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 164.699997,
        "volume": 111614,
        "typical_volume": 207662.25,
        "trend": 162.573334,
        "fair_value": 149.605271,
        "relative_strength": -9.310121,
        "stage": 4,
        "regime": "rotation_up",
        "modifier": "Structural repair",
        "gate": "mixed",
        "direction": 21.283255,
        "energy": 23.909983,
        "activity_lines": [
          163.786666,
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}