{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "7456e394-b124-4901-8805-544e1e77792b",
    "symbol": "XDEC",
    "name": "FT VEST U.S. EQUITY ENHANCE & MODERATE BUFFER ETF - DECEMBER",
    "exchange": "CBOE",
    "country": "US",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "SPY",
    "stage": 3,
    "stage_name": "Distribution",
    "phase": "3b",
    "phase_label": "Stage 3B \u00b7 Distribution",
    "transition": "stage_3_churning",
    "transition_label": "Stage 3 range intact",
    "confidence": 67.025,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 87.838,
    "architecture_energy": 82.167,
    "architecture_maturity": 41.134,
    "architecture_confidence": 72.885,
    "architecture_tenure": "Established",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 3.81,
        "rotation_up": 70.08,
        "upward_expansion": 94.52,
        "deceleration": 44.33,
        "rotation_down": 24.91,
        "downward_expansion": 16.52
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        43.155767,
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        42.725147,
        42.318876
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      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Expanding",
      "rotation_direction": "Weakening",
      "price_acceptance": 1.0
    },
    "latest_close": 43.4401,
    "trend_reference": 41.853633,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.037905,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 37.705457,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.152091,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -6.030607,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.054883,
    "excess_performance": -0.070741,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.037905,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017318,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.152091,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002999,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.060306,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.002709,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.054883,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.278311,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 14794,
      "relative_activity": 0.243766,
      "balance": 0.278311,
      "dry_up": 0.390934,
      "accumulation_observations": 0,
      "distribution_observations": 1
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.007125,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.055549,
      "from_high_reference": 0.0,
      "from_low_reference": 0.102541
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 41.853633,
      "fair_value_reference": 37.705457,
      "structural_low": 39.57,
      "invalidation": "A decisive breakout above range resistance with renewed RS leadership invalidates the distribution reading; a range-low break confirms deterioration."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 35,
        "median_return": 0.00636,
        "positive_rate": 0.742857,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.742857,
        "median_excess_return": -0.007234,
        "regime_survival": 0.885714,
        "best_return": 0.019647,
        "worst_return": -0.037077,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 11,
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        "worst_return": -0.019244,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 6,
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        "directional_follow_through": 1.0,
        "median_excess_return": -0.049025,
        "regime_survival": 0.833333,
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        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
        "sample_count": 3,
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        "sufficient": false
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    ],
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        "regime": "deceleration",
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      {
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        "active": false
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "active": false
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      {
        "date": "2026-04-24",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-06-12",
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      },
      {
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "fair_value": 37.442633,
        "relative_strength": -5.365676,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
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        "typical_volume": 61288.95,
        "trend": 41.645857,
        "fair_value": 37.507026,
        "relative_strength": -3.887067,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 71.765367,
        "energy": 83.926929,
        "activity_lines": [
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          42.39961,
          42.038094
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 42.9252,
        "volume": 33671,
        "typical_volume": 61645.1,
        "trend": 41.707363,
        "fair_value": 37.571097,
        "relative_strength": -3.2087,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
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        "direction": 68.227519,
        "energy": 81.699648,
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        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 43.12,
        "volume": 19227,
        "typical_volume": 61007.25,
        "trend": 41.779963,
        "fair_value": 37.637444,
        "relative_strength": -3.645712,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 76.194074,
        "energy": 82.468727,
        "activity_lines": [
          42.998553,
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          42.601998,
          42.21177
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 43.4401,
        "volume": 14794,
        "typical_volume": 60689.3,
        "trend": 41.853633,
        "fair_value": 37.705457,
        "relative_strength": -6.030607,
        "stage": 3,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 87.837601,
        "energy": 82.166711,
        "activity_lines": [
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      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}