{ "ticker": { "uuid": "745d12aa-9eaa-4e54-8251-46f432228e51", "symbol": "300656", "name": "Shenzhen MinDe Electronics Technology Ltd.", "exchange": "SHZ", "country": "CN", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "399001.SZ", "stage": 1, "stage_name": "Basing", "phase": "1b", "phase_label": "Stage 1B \u00b7 Basing", "transition": "stage_1_building", "transition_label": "Base still building", "confidence": 78.736, "architecture_regime": "deceleration", "architecture_regime_label": "Deceleration", "architecture_modifier": "Recompressing", "architecture_gate": "mixed", "architecture_direction": -19.637, "architecture_energy": 32.887, "architecture_maturity": 51.075, "architecture_confidence": 61.649, "architecture_tenure": "New", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The upward structure remains, but its energy is decelerating.", "body": "Trend remains positive, but Activity or price acceptance is losing strength. This can become a healthy recompression, a re-acceleration, or a Rotation Down." }, "scores": { "balance": 44.19, "rotation_up": 14.1, "upward_expansion": 16.18, "deceleration": 71.27, "rotation_down": 63.86, "downward_expansion": 41.18 }, "activity_lines": [ 25.180667, 28.705819, 29.668714, 28.630839 ], "activity_state": "Moderate", "activity_direction": "Contracting", "rotation_direction": "Weakening", "price_acceptance": -0.5 }, "latest_close": 25.99, "trend_reference": 27.507667, "distance_from_trend": -0.055173, "trend_direction": "Improving", "fair_value": 24.291424, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.069925, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -2.879256, "relative_strength_direction": "Improving", "price_momentum": -0.185522, "excess_performance": -0.192922, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.055173, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.124414, "read": "Rising" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.069925, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.150959, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.028793, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": true, "value": 0.007015, "read": "Improving" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.185522, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": true, "value": 1.179976, "read": "Demand-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 27781824, "relative_activity": 1.013985, "balance": 1.179976, "dry_up": 1.206663, "accumulation_observations": 5, "distribution_observations": 4 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.225442, "annualized_volatility": 0.757135, "from_high_reference": -0.395581, "from_low_reference": 0.345238 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 27.507667, "fair_value_reference": 24.291424, "structural_low": 19.32, "invalidation": "A renewed decline below the structural range low, widening the discount to current Fair Value while Trend falls, weakens the base diagnosis." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 8, "median_return": 0.005364, "positive_rate": 0.5, "directional_follow_through": 0.5, "median_excess_return": -0.012632, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.189088, "worst_return": -0.191085, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 5, "median_return": -0.022827, "positive_rate": 0.4, "directional_follow_through": 0.4, "median_excess_return": -0.025353, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 0.536387, "worst_return": -0.142709, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": -0.147686, "positive_rate": 0.25, "directional_follow_through": 0.25, "median_excess_return": -0.095842, "regime_survival": 0.25, "best_return": 0.124097, "worst_return": -0.207665, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"activity_lines": [ 27.986667, 31.188546, 30.272952, 28.92185 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 24.190001, "volume": 35099651, "typical_volume": 26746650.3, "trend": 27.375333, "fair_value": 24.308442, "relative_strength": -5.415272, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -22.387704, "energy": 31.735819, "activity_lines": [ 25.773334, 29.710182, 29.887095, 28.720215 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 25.99, "volume": 27781824, "typical_volume": 27398642.6, "trend": 27.507667, "fair_value": 24.291424, "relative_strength": -2.879256, "stage": 1, "regime": "deceleration", "modifier": "Recompressing", "gate": "mixed", "direction": -19.637172, "energy": 32.886868, "activity_lines": [ 25.180667, 28.705819, 29.668714, 28.630839 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }