{
  "ticker": {
    "uuid": "74617e9d-9bf7-401c-b521-43b4dd0303e4",
    "symbol": "MIVU",
    "name": "Amundi Index Solutions - Amundi MSCI USA Minimum Volatility Factor UCITS ETF",
    "exchange": "PAR",
    "country": "FR",
    "assetType": "etf"
  },
  "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.",
  "analysis": {
    "eligible": true,
    "as_of": "2026-08-07",
    "benchmark": "^FCHI",
    "stage": 2,
    "stage_name": "Advancing",
    "phase": "2a",
    "phase_label": "Stage 2A \u00b7 Early advance",
    "transition": "stage_2_healthy",
    "transition_label": "Stage 2 trend intact",
    "confidence": 83.816,
    "architecture_regime": "upward_expansion",
    "architecture_regime_label": "Upward Expansion",
    "architecture_modifier": "Established expansion",
    "architecture_gate": "up",
    "architecture_direction": 86.174,
    "architecture_energy": 70.076,
    "architecture_maturity": 54.826,
    "architecture_confidence": 69.031,
    "architecture_tenure": "Developing",
    "architecture": {
      "interpretation": {
        "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding upward.",
        "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained positive alignment with constructive price acceptance. Directional energy remains positive; cooling within this regime can indicate that it is maturing."
      },
      "scores": {
        "balance": 6.97,
        "rotation_up": 72.51,
        "upward_expansion": 87.28,
        "deceleration": 65.72,
        "rotation_down": 17.96,
        "downward_expansion": 11.61
      },
      "activity_lines": [
        98.962202,
        98.327601,
        96.715067,
        95.769568
      ],
      "activity_state": "Wide",
      "activity_direction": "Contracting",
      "rotation_direction": "Improving",
      "price_acceptance": 0.833333
    },
    "latest_close": 100.413002,
    "trend_reference": 94.7001,
    "distance_from_trend": 0.060326,
    "trend_direction": "Improving",
    "fair_value": 90.317228,
    "distance_from_fair_value": 0.111781,
    "fair_value_direction": "Improving",
    "relative_strength": -0.20124,
    "relative_strength_direction": "Improving",
    "price_momentum": 0.081268,
    "excess_performance": 0.027956,
    "evidence": [
      {
        "label": "Price vs Trend",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.060326,
        "read": "Above"
      },
      {
        "label": "Trend direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.017514,
        "read": "Rising"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price vs current Fair Value",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.111781,
        "read": "Premium"
      },
      {
        "label": "Fair Value direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.070082,
        "read": "Closing upward"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark",
        "positive": false,
        "value": -0.002012,
        "read": "Lagging"
      },
      {
        "label": "Relative strength direction",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.018532,
        "read": "Improving"
      },
      {
        "label": "Price momentum",
        "positive": true,
        "value": 0.081268,
        "read": "Positive"
      },
      {
        "label": "Volume balance",
        "positive": false,
        "value": 0.911739,
        "read": "Supply-led"
      }
    ],
    "volume": {
      "latest": 3559,
      "relative_activity": 2.389312,
      "balance": 0.911739,
      "dry_up": 1.52865,
      "accumulation_observations": 2,
      "distribution_observations": 2
    },
    "risk": {
      "range_context": 0.014938,
      "annualized_volatility": 0.08478,
      "from_high_reference": -0.070865,
      "from_low_reference": 0.117103
    },
    "levels": {
      "trend_reference": 94.7001,
      "fair_value_reference": 90.317228,
      "structural_low": 91.070999,
      "invalidation": "A sustained loss of Trend, followed by flattening structure and weakening relative strength, challenges the advancing diagnosis."
    },
    "outcomes": [
      {
        "horizon": "Near term",
        "sample_count": 33,
        "median_return": 0.005433,
        "positive_rate": 0.575758,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.575758,
        "median_excess_return": 0.006297,
        "regime_survival": 0.727273,
        "best_return": 0.058995,
        "worst_return": -0.139801,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Intermediate",
        "sample_count": 13,
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        "positive_rate": 0.538462,
        "directional_follow_through": 0.538462,
        "median_excess_return": -0.001454,
        "regime_survival": 0.461538,
        "best_return": 0.103183,
        "worst_return": -0.144381,
        "sufficient": true
      },
      {
        "horizon": "Extended",
        "sample_count": 8,
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        "directional_follow_through": 0.625,
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        "worst_return": -0.145806,
        "sufficient": true
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      {
        "horizon": "Full cycle",
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        "worst_return": -0.047632,
        "sufficient": false
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      {
        "regime": "rotation_down",
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        "active": false
      },
      {
        "regime": "deceleration",
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      },
      {
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      },
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        "regime": "downward_expansion",
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        "color": "red",
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        "end": "2025-09-26",
        "tenure": "Established",
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        "active": false
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        "regime": "balance",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-05-01",
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        "date": "2026-05-15",
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        "regime": "balance",
        "modifier": "Balance after decline",
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      },
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        "date": "2026-05-29",
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        "date": "2026-06-05",
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        "relative_strength": 0.500035,
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        "relative_strength": 0.241736,
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-03",
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        "fair_value": 89.567445,
        "relative_strength": 0.670503,
        "stage": 3,
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        "modifier": "Early expansion",
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-10",
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        "volume": 4803,
        "typical_volume": 1147.45,
        "trend": 93.850033,
        "fair_value": 89.72949,
        "relative_strength": 2.550861,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 89.008545,
        "energy": 95.45752,
        "activity_lines": [
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      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-17",
        "close": 98.209,
        "volume": 1434,
        "typical_volume": 1198.4,
        "trend": 94.040266,
        "fair_value": 89.872907,
        "relative_strength": 1.904061,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 69.684231,
        "energy": 88.708173,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.146599,
          97.119727,
          95.528371,
          94.862311
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-24",
        "close": 98.459,
        "volume": 1254,
        "typical_volume": 1240.6,
        "trend": 94.248266,
        "fair_value": 90.016061,
        "relative_strength": 1.737588,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Early expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 68.693693,
        "energy": 87.245014,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.435333,
          97.505818,
          95.89119,
          95.147391
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-07-31",
        "close": 97.939003,
        "volume": 2861,
        "typical_volume": 1350.45,
        "trend": 94.46,
        "fair_value": 90.160554,
        "relative_strength": -0.340149,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 66.63302,
        "energy": 64.27648,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.314334,
          97.719309,
          96.192262,
          95.385503
        ]
      },
      {
        "date": "2026-08-07",
        "close": 100.413002,
        "volume": 3559,
        "typical_volume": 1489.55,
        "trend": 94.7001,
        "fair_value": 90.317228,
        "relative_strength": -0.20124,
        "stage": 2,
        "regime": "upward_expansion",
        "modifier": "Established expansion",
        "gate": "up",
        "direction": 86.174098,
        "energy": 70.076273,
        "activity_lines": [
          98.962202,
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          96.715067,
          95.769568
        ]
      }
    ],
    "method": {
      "price_basis": "completed market observations",
      "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.",
      "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.",
      "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.",
      "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read."
    }
  }
}