{ "ticker": { "uuid": "746823dc-3d79-42aa-abfd-04d0310d5c81", "symbol": "1E3", "name": "Sanli Environmental Limited", "exchange": "SES", "country": "SG", "assetType": "equity" }, "methodBoundary": "Trend Architecture is a weekly structural classification, not a forecast, probability of return, recommendation or execution signal. Confidence measures geometric agreement and external confirmation only.", "analysis": { "eligible": true, "as_of": "2026-08-07", "benchmark": "^STI", "stage": 4, "stage_name": "Declining", "phase": "4b", "phase_label": "Stage 4B \u00b7 Declining", "transition": "stage_4_declining", "transition_label": "Stage 4 decline intact", "confidence": 96.0, "architecture_regime": "downward_expansion", "architecture_regime_label": "Downward Expansion", "architecture_modifier": "Established contraction", "architecture_gate": "down", "architecture_direction": -73.167, "architecture_energy": 88.114, "architecture_maturity": 85.0, "architecture_confidence": 96, "architecture_tenure": "Established", "architecture": { "interpretation": { "headline": "The weekly architecture is expanding downward.", "body": "Trend and Activity show sustained negative alignment with weak price acceptance. Repair requires persistent improvement across the structure, not merely one strong observation." }, "scores": { "balance": 2.08, "rotation_up": 29.52, "upward_expansion": 21.45, "deceleration": 37.24, "rotation_down": 62.93, "downward_expansion": 99.45 }, "activity_lines": [ 0.1554, 0.158727, 0.168648, 0.185755 ], "activity_state": "Wide", "activity_direction": "Expanding", "rotation_direction": "Improving", "price_acceptance": -1.0 }, "latest_close": 0.154, "trend_reference": 0.2167, "distance_from_trend": -0.28934, "trend_direction": "Weakening", "fair_value": 0.147953, "distance_from_fair_value": 0.040869, "fair_value_direction": "Weakening", "relative_strength": -49.067234, "relative_strength_direction": "Weakening", "price_momentum": -0.486667, "excess_performance": -0.641502, "evidence": [ { "label": "Price vs Trend", "positive": false, "value": -0.28934, "read": "Below" }, { "label": "Trend direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.194224, "read": "Falling" }, { "label": "Price vs current Fair Value", "positive": true, "value": 0.040869, "read": "Premium" }, { "label": "Fair Value direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.298519, "read": "Moving away" }, { "label": "Relative Strength vs benchmark", "positive": false, "value": -0.490672, "read": "Lagging" }, { "label": "Relative strength direction", "positive": false, "value": -0.21272, "read": "Weakening" }, { "label": "Price momentum", "positive": false, "value": -0.486667, "read": "Negative" }, { "label": "Volume balance", "positive": false, "value": 0.333461, "read": "Supply-led" } ], "volume": { "latest": 931900, "relative_activity": 0.197118, "balance": 0.333461, "dry_up": 0.20054, "accumulation_observations": 0, "distribution_observations": 1 }, "risk": { "range_context": 0.057942, "annualized_volatility": 0.461306, "from_high_reference": -0.578082, "from_low_reference": 0.033557 }, "levels": { "trend_reference": 0.2167, "fair_value_reference": 0.147953, "structural_low": 0.149, "invalidation": "Reclaiming a flat-to-rising Trend with improving relative strength is required before the declining diagnosis is repaired." }, "outcomes": [ { "horizon": "Near term", "sample_count": 19, "median_return": 0.021968, "positive_rate": 0.526316, "directional_follow_through": 0.421053, "median_excess_return": -0.016758, "regime_survival": 0.736842, "best_return": 0.329124, "worst_return": -0.088372, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Intermediate", "sample_count": 7, "median_return": 0.022472, "positive_rate": 0.714286, "directional_follow_through": 0.285714, "median_excess_return": -0.033013, "regime_survival": 0.428571, "best_return": 0.585368, "worst_return": -0.232558, "sufficient": true }, { "horizon": "Extended", "sample_count": 4, "median_return": 0.112576, "positive_rate": 0.75, "directional_follow_through": 0.0, "median_excess_return": 0.092532, "regime_survival": 0.0, "best_return": 2.50196, "worst_return": 0.0, "sufficient": false }, { "horizon": "Full cycle", "sample_count": 3, 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"2025-03-14", "end": "2025-03-28", "tenure": "New", "return": -0.035301, "active": false }, { "regime": "downward_expansion", "label": "Downward Expansion", "color": "red", "start": "2025-04-04", "end": "2025-05-02", "tenure": "Developing", "return": 0.036592, "active": false }, { "regime": "balance", "label": "Balance", "color": "blue", "start": "2025-05-09", "end": "2025-05-23", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.011489, "active": false }, { "regime": "rotation_up", "label": "Rotation Up", "color": "teal", "start": "2025-05-30", "end": "2025-06-13", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.175816, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", "label": "Upward Expansion", "color": "green", "start": "2025-06-20", "end": "2025-12-05", "tenure": "Established", "return": 1.803697, "active": false }, { "regime": "deceleration", "label": "Deceleration", "color": "amber", "start": "2025-12-12", "end": "2025-12-26", "tenure": "New", "return": 0.015625, "active": false }, { "regime": "upward_expansion", 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"direction": -73.026233, "energy": 74.14261, "activity_lines": [ 0.1632, 0.168673, 0.182029, 0.205422 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-17", "close": 0.158, "volume": 581700, "typical_volume": 5405335.0, "trend": 0.2349, "fair_value": 0.146845, "relative_strength": -47.07617, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -74.55993, "energy": 86.404979, "activity_lines": [ 0.160867, 0.165836, 0.178105, 0.200133 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-24", "close": 0.155, "volume": 755500, "typical_volume": 5297600.0, "trend": 0.229233, "fair_value": 0.147215, "relative_strength": -48.469492, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -76.919351, "energy": 90.120431, "activity_lines": [ 0.158267, 0.163036, 0.174524, 0.194978 ] }, { "date": "2026-07-31", "close": 0.155, "volume": 1523200, "typical_volume": 5012110.0, "trend": 0.222733, "fair_value": 0.14759, "relative_strength": -48.490926, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.726728, "energy": 89.007691, "activity_lines": [ 0.156667, 0.160745, 0.171467, 0.190189 ] }, { "date": "2026-08-07", "close": 0.154, "volume": 931900, "typical_volume": 4727615.0, "trend": 0.2167, "fair_value": 0.147953, "relative_strength": -49.067234, "stage": 4, "regime": "downward_expansion", "modifier": "Established contraction", "gate": "down", "direction": -73.167081, "energy": 88.114328, "activity_lines": [ 0.1554, 0.158727, 0.168648, 0.185755 ] } ], "method": { "price_basis": "completed market observations", "trend": "Trend provides the primary directional reference.", "fair_value": "Fair Value provides long-term price context and is not a forecast or target.", "relative_strength": "Relative Strength shows leadership or lagging performance against the market benchmark.", "classification": "The SM framework combines Trend, Activity, Fair Value, Relative Strength and participation into a structural read." } } }